Category Archives: Black Swan Watch

Is Gold Money?

Posted on July 13, 2011 by macromon

During today’s Congressional testimony Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, was confronted by Rep. Ron Paul with the question, “Is gold money”?  (see video below)  The Chairman answered, “no” and went on to say the reason why central banks hold gold is … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Crude Oil, Currency, Dollar, Gold, Monetary Policy, Video | Tagged , , , | 15 Comments

Bank Exposure to Domestic Sovereigns

Posted on July 11, 2011 by macromon

Here at the Global Macro Monitor we perceive a rapidly changing financial landscape.  The concept of risk-free is being redefined as we write and analysts are now forced to look at the systemic risk caused by a banking system’s exposure … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Euro, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

When Apple Leads….

Posted on July 7, 2011 by macromon

Apple is up almost 15 percent off  the June 20th low of 310 and leading the overall market higher.  This is the stock’s best move since last September.  We’ve posted several pieces on Apple’s market leadership (click here).  With no … Continue reading →

Posted in Apple, Black Swan Watch, BRICs, Budget Deficit, Charts, Economics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Why Europe Can’t Afford a Greek Haircut

Posted on June 29, 2011 by macromon

If a picture is worth a thousand words, the following chart from the IMF encapsulates all the analysis one needs to understand why Mr. Trichet and the rest of the Eurozone bureaucracy are so adamant about not letting Greece restructure … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Euro, PIIGS, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 4 Comments

Question of the Day

Posted on June 21, 2011 by macromon

Market’s are priced for a G-Pap vote of confidence and will most likely celebrate with a relief rally.  But the 12 billion euro question is can G-Pap win over the Greek street?   If you believe it, run, don’t walk to … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, State and Local Government | Tagged , | Leave a comment

The New Perfect Storm?

Posted on June 19, 2011 by macromon

We received the latest Bubble Bulletin newsletter from the Society of Actuaries (SOA) last week and it was, to say the least, “hair raising.”   According to the report, Actuary Shaun Wang, a leader in enterprise risk management, and founder and … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Commodities | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Textbook Bounce Off the 200-day Moving Average

Posted on June 16, 2011 by macromon

After gyrating much of the day, the S&P500 bounced off the the 200-day moving average (which also coincided with the December 2010 close)  just like a page out of a technical analysis textbook.   The bounce helped rescue Apple from some … Continue reading →

Posted in Apple, Black Swan Watch, Global Stock Performance | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Governor Brown Vetoes “Greece on the Pacific” Budget

Posted on June 16, 2011 by macromon

Governor Jerry Brown just vetoed California’s budget, which was put together in haste last night so legislators would still receive their pay.  A ballot measure passed by voters last year meant that if lawmakers didn’t meet Wednesday’s deadline, their salaries … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Muni Market, State and Local Government | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

McSwan Watch: Soros – China Risks ‘Hard Landing’

Posted on June 15, 2011 by macromon

George Soros was on the tape warning China is losing its grip on inflation.  Bloomberg reports, China has missed its opportunity to stem inflation and may now risk a hard landing, billionaire investor George Soros said. The world’s second-largest economy … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, BRICs, China, Commodities, Crude Oil | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Hang Seng Falls 7th Straight Day

Posted on June 10, 2011 by macromon

We take notice when the Hang Seng speaks as it is one of our indicator species for global risk appetite.  The index closed down for the seventh consecutive day, which has initially happened only 14 times since 1987, and is … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities, Global Stock Performance | Tagged , | 2 Comments