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Category Archives: Politics
Specs Fuel “Bizarro” World of Live Cattle Futures
After reaching a high of $112.375 – the highest for a closest-to-expiration contract since CME launched cattle futures in 1964 – February live cattle futures fell today to the equivalent of $108.80 per hundred points. The price hit a previous … Continue reading
Posted in Commodities, Monetary Policy, Policy, Politics
Tagged Live Cattle Futures, Speculation
4 Comments
The Graying of Calfornia’s Flower Children
Well this is a depressing chart and remember California usually leads the nation. We fear us baby boomers risk eating all the “seed corn” and leaving nothing for the younger generations to invest in their future, which the quality … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Budget Deficit, Demographics, Muni Market, Policy, Politics
Tagged Aging Baby Boomers, California Demographics
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Godspeed, Congresswoman Giffords
The Global Macro Monitor prayers go out for your full recovery and for the families of those who suffered such a great loss in today’s tragic and senseless event. We also hope and pray this tragedy will not be lost … Continue reading
Did the Russell 2000 predict the better than expected ADP?
Did you notice the better than expected ADP employment report this morning. It was the largest monthly jump ever in this report, with most of the jobs created in small and medium sized businesses? Recall we wrote on January 3rd … Continue reading
Posted in Budget Deficit, Currency, Employment, Fiscal Policy, Muni Bonds, News, Policy, Politics
Tagged ADP, bonds, employment, Equities, Jobs Recovery
2 Comments
Betting on a Jobs Recovery, Christie, and Brown….
Like others, we can’t help but notice the massive outperformance of small caps in 2010, with the Russell 2000 doubling the performance of the S&P500. The Russell was up over 25 percent in 2010. Isn’t this only supposed to happen … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Budget Deficit, Economics, Employment, Equities, Fiscal Policy, Muni Bonds, Muni Market, Politics
Tagged Governor Brown, Governor Christie, Nonfarm employment, Russell 2000
2 Comments
Confirmation Bias Confirmed!
We’re a bit surprised at the response to our post, “If the is Socialism, call me Comrade.” No, not really. The title was a bit provocative and the comments about “Joe the Plumber” maybe should have been excluded. We think … Continue reading
Posted in Equities, Politics
Tagged Confirmation Bias, Obama Reelection, Presidential Stock Cycle
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Outrage Grows Over Public Sector Unions – NY Times
We’ve posted how underfunded state and local pensions are going to be a huge economic and political issue in 2011. Go no further than the New Year’s Day NY Times article, Across the nation, a rising irritation with public … Continue reading
Posted in Muni Bonds, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Risk
Tagged Medicaid, Muni Market, Public Pensions, Social Security
5 Comments
If this is Socialism, call me Comrade
No politics or partisanship here, “just the facts ma’am”. The stock market as measured by the S&P500 is up just about 50 percent since President Obama’s inauguration to today’s close. Only Eisenhowser comes close, but not even in the same … Continue reading
Global Corporate Tax Rates
Lots of chatter the President is going to propose a corporate tax cut in his State of the Union speech. Corporations hold billions off-shore and maybe it will nudge some of it back into domestic capital expenditures or hiring? … Continue reading
George Will on Coming War Over Public Pensions
Be sure to catch George Will’s Washington Post piece on the coming battle in the new Congress over state and local public pensions. In early December, we posted the report by James Pethokoukis of a secret Republican plan to push … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Fiscal Policy, Muni Bonds, Muni Market, Policy, Politics
Tagged Muni Bonds, Muni Market, State and Local Pensions
1 Comment
