Category Archives: Sovereign Debt

Charlie Rose: IMF Roundtable on the Global Economy

Excellent roundtable on the global economy: The Global Economy with IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde; Anders Borg, Minister for Finance in the Swedish government; Christina Romer, former Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers in the Obama administration; Duvvuri Subbarao, … Continue reading

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Euro Crisis: Lorenzo Bini Smaghi

Lorenzo Bini Smagi,  former Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, nails it, You call it austerity, i would call it putting your house in order. You can’t grow especially if you have a deficit which is … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Budget Deficit, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Government Gross Financing Needs

The latest data from the IMF’s Fiscal Monitor.  Read it and gulp!  Then fire up the printing presses. Click on the tables to enlarge and for better resolution. (click here if tables are not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, BRICs, Budget Deficit, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

The Fiscal Health of Nations: General Govt Balance

The IMF is out with their Fiscal Monitor today.  Great stats.  Here is a comparison of the fiscal health of the world’s economies. Contrast Norway and Saudi (both oil exporters) with, say,  the U.S. and Japan.  Italy doesn’t look so … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Budget Deficit, Economics, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Spanish 10-year Closes Above 6 percent

(click here if chart and video are not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Sovereign Debt Holdings By Type of Investor

The International Monetary Fund (IMF)  is out with an update of their Global Financial Stability Report, which includes the following graphic of sovereign debt holders of the big three issuers and the Euro area.   The IMF notes, …In the United … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Depression in the European Periphery

Nice chart and analysis from the New York Fed’s blog, The chart also shows that the current economic situation is much weaker in several euro-area periphery countries. The recession in Greece has yet to end, and real GDP is now … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Tough Day in Euroland

Europe came back from its long Easter weekend and took a nasty spanking. Spain’s sovereign spread over German bunds blew out 26.3 bps and is within 40 bps of its November high, while Italy moved 27.4 bps wider.   The large … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, German Bund, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Bigs Break

More breaks in the big indices as the S&P500 and Dow have violated their short-term uptrend.   The Dow closed below its 50-day moving average today for the first time since mid-December, which was a vicious bear trap.   Doesn’t seem like … Continue reading

Posted in China, Equities, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

60 Minutes: Europe’s Debt Crisis

CBS’ 60 minutes aired this report tonight. Well worth your time. When the tide goes away you see those who do not have a swimming costume on.   And that was the case in Europe – Christine Lagarde (click here if … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment