Headache for head of state as Italian politics fails..again

Here is something we really need to monitor and keep on our radar.  The potential for an outsized political or geopolitical shock is growing and not just in Italy.

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Employment in 10 largest counties in the U.S.

Employment in the nation’s 10 largest counties ranged from almost 1.0 million in Miami-Dade, Florida, to almost 4.0 million in Los Angeles, California, in September 2012. All of the 10 largest counties had percentage increases in employment from September 2011 to September 2012. Harris, Texas (part of the Houston metropolitan area), had the largest gain (3.8 percent). Within Harris, among private industry groups, professional and business services had the largest over-the-year employment increase; a gain of 19,152 jobs (5.6 percent) resulting in employment of 360,700. Cook, Illinois (part of the Chicago metropolitan area), had the smallest percentage increase in employment (1.0 percent) among the 10 largest counties.

Nine of the 10 largest U.S. counties had over-the-year decreases in average weekly wages. Maricopa, Arizona (part of the Phoenix metropolitan area), experienced the largest decline in average weekly wages (−2.1 percent). Education and health services had the largest impact on Maricopa county’s average weekly wage decline. Within this industry, employment grew by 5,374 (2.2 percent) to 248,200, while total wages paid to those workers decreased (−2.1 percent).

King, Washington (part of the Seattle metropolitan area), had the only average weekly wage increase (2.3 percent) among the 10 largest counties.

These data are from the BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages program. To learn more, see “County Employment and Wages: Third Quarter 2012” (HTML) (PDF), news release USDL-13-0542. Data for the most recent quarter are preliminary and subject to revision.

BLS

Mar29_BLS

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Statfor: George Friedman on Cyprus and the EU

The good overview of the bigger picture issues with respect to Cyprus.

Stratfor Founder and Chairman George Friedman discusses how the financial situation in Europe is deteriorating and the uncertain future ahead.
For more analysis, visit: http://www.Stratfor.com

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U.S. Equity Sector ETF Weekly Performance – March 29

Sector ETF_WeekSector ETF_YTD

Sector ETF_OverboughtSector ETF_Technical

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Weekly Eurozone Watch – Spread Blowout

Eurozone ImageKey Data Points
German 10-year Bund 9 bps lower;
France 10 bps wider to the Bund;
Belgium 11 bps wider;
Ireland 17 bps wider;
Italy 33 bps wider;
Spain 29 bps wider;
Portugal 44 bp wider;
Greece 65 bps wider;

Large Eurozone banks weekly change,  -1.27 to -7.40 percent;
Euro$ down,  -1.27 percent.

Comments

  • France and Belgium spreads over Bund widen 10-11 bps;
  • Belgium, Italy, and Greece spreads over the Bund at widest weekly close of the year;
  • Large Euro bank stocks at lowest weekly close of the year;
  • Euro FX at lowest weekly close of the year;
  • Spain’s IBEX, Italy’s MIB, and Greece Compos lowest weekly close of the year;
  • Banks opened on Thursday for the first time in nearly two weeks amid severe new rules imposed as part of the bailout deal.  By Friday, banks had returned to their normal working hours and there were no longer reports of big queues.  – BBC
  • After almost a week of fraught talks, dead-end meetings and irate exchanges, Italy‘s centre-left leader said on Thursday that he had not been able to find enough support among the country’s fractured parliament to form a stable government, prompting the country’s octogenarian head of state to take the job of ending the gridlock back into his own hands. – Guardian
  • Silvio Berlusconi has reiterated his call for a broad coalition government with his centre-left opponents as Italy’s political parties launch another round of negotiations in an attempt to break the impasse resulting from last month’s inconclusive elections. – FT

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Bersani admits defeat in forming new Italian government

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CYPRIOT depositors are not the only ones suffering the aftermath of a banking bust. People who bought shares or subordinated debt in Spain’s dodgiest cajas, or savings banks, have either been all but wiped out or forced to take hefty losses. Many small Spanish investors are among them.

Economist

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WEZ_Spread_WeekWEZ_Bank_WeekWEZ_Spread_YTDWEZ_Bank_YTDWEZ_YieldsWEZ_Stock_IndicesWEZ_Euro_FX

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U.S. Equity Sector ETF – Daily Performance

Interest Rate Monitor_ETF Mar28_ETF

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Daily Interest Rate Monitor – March 28

Interest Rate Monitor

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S&P Gets It Done

The S&P500 finishes Q1 at a new all-time closing high of 1569.19 taking out the 1565.13 October 2007 high.    Impressive getting it done without Apple and Google with today’s slam dunk (see video)  led, again,  by utilities and healthcare.

Next stop is the intraday high at 1576.07.

Mar28_S&P500

The S&P500 closed at 252.15 when Jerome Lane got it done back in 1988.  Boom!

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Tweet of the Day

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Stratfor: Turkey’s Geographic Challenge

On the back of S&P’s upgrade of Turkey’s rating to double-B-plus from double-B, one level below an investment-grade,  here’s some good background.

Stratfor examines how Turkey is attempting to expand its core into the eastern part of the country and how this affects the region.
For more analysis, visit: http://www.Stratfor.com

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