Monthly Archives: December 2010

POMO Squeeze – Bonds Rally

The Fed really got its money worth today, buying $2 BN of bonds with maturities in the range of  08/15/2028 – 11/15/2040.    Long-term interest rates fell 10-20 bps.  Just another example of how bonds behave when the parents are home.  … Continue reading

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Rollover Risk 2011- Sovereign Financing Needs

Sovereign rollover risk will be one of the major issues to monitor for 2011.   The following are some key data tables and charts produced by the IMF.   The most vulnerable countries to a rollover shock and/or failed bond auctions … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Economics, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , | 1 Comment

iPad2 expects monthly sales of 6M vs current 4M per quarter

Taiwan’s Digitimes writes, Apple has reportedly added two additional touch panel makers, Chimei Innolux and Cando, to its touch panel supplier list for iPad 2 in addition to current suppliers Wintek, Sintek Photronics and TPK Touch Solutions due to expanding … Continue reading

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Hang Seng Index – Indicator Species for Global Risk?

We like to look at Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index as the “indicator species” for global risk appetite.   Over our 25 years of trading, we have noticed that the Hang Seng tends to lead most risk markets and is … Continue reading

Posted in Charts, China, Equities | Tagged , , , , | 21 Comments

U.S. Energy Use Flowchart

Click chart for better resolution. A quad is a unit of energy equal to 1015 (a short-scale quadrillion) BTU,[1] or 1.055 × 1018 joules (1.055 exajoules or EJ) in SI units. The unit is used by the U.S. Department of … Continue reading

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Chart of the Month: In your FACEbook

This has to be one of the coolest charts of the year.  From the Economist, PAUL BUTLER, an intern at Facebook, has created a striking map that shows the volume of friendships between particular parts of the world. As he … Continue reading

Posted in Charts, General Interest | Tagged , | Leave a comment

How is Money Defined?

Be sure to catch Krugman’s post, What is Money? We have issues with his extreme partisanship, but the economics of the piece is excellent.  He raises some very good points on how difficult it is even just to define money, … Continue reading

Posted in Monetary Policy | Tagged | 4 Comments

Holders of U.S. Public Debt

The best table we’ve seen on the U.S. government’s major creditors.  Nice compliment to our Dec11 post, Who’s Funding the U.S. Budget Deficit.  The U.S. government’s  fiscal year begins October1 and ends September 30.

Posted in Bonds, Budget Deficit, Economics, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Debt | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Euro Fracture: Germany’s House Party Revolt

Go no further than the chart below to understand the resentment and anger among the German taxpayers who are being asked to clean-up the “House Party” of fellow EU members.   The chart shows the housing bubbles of Ireland and Spain … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Economics, Euro, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, Video | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Europe’s Big Fail…

One lesson we have learned during the financial crisis is that a country’s banking system is an indirect liability of the sovereign.  That is, unless the government is willing to allow banks to fail and let the domestic financial sector … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Budget Deficit, Euro, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 1 Comment