Monthly Archives: January 2012

Euro Fracture: Europe’s Biggest Risk…

Now that a financial systemic collapse has been taken off the table with LTRO, it’s reform backlash/fatigue and political risk.   The AP writes this morning, Instead of a beacon for a better future, many Europeans are starting to see the … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

The Golden Bid

Nice breakout in gold on strong volume after the Fed’s announcement they’ll continue to flog savers, possibly into 2014.  Technically it looks good x/the 78.7 RSI overbought condition.   Open interest is way down and you can feel that in the … Continue reading

Posted in Gold | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

S&P500 Plays Range Rover, Waits on the Shanghai

As we posted yesterday, the S&P500 appears to be working off an overbought condition by trading in a relatively tight range between 1306 and 1333.   A break of 1306 could take the index back to 1277, which is key support.  … Continue reading

Posted in China, Equities, Global Stock Performance | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Weekly Eurozone Watch: Italy below 6 percent, €/$ Squeezola

(click here if charts are not observable)

Posted in Euro, Weekly Eurozone Watch | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Stratfor: Eurozone Prepares to Eject Greece

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments

Lagarde: The Trillion Dollar Woman and Best IMF Chief Ever?

We like this woman  We think she could be the best IMF Chief ever.    Stay tuned. Newsweek: In a dramatic speech in Berlin this week, the IMF chief warned that the world could soon face another Great Depression, calling for … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Economics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 4 Comments

Greece debt talks come down to the wire

It’s a done deal.  Everything else is noise.  Seriously, do you think the deal will tank over a couple of basis points? (click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, Video | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

S&P500 Trying to Work Off Overbought Condition

After breaking through its relatively tight short-term trading range on yesterday’s Fed announcement, the S&P500 ran out of gas at 1333.   Our best guess is that in the short run the S&P500 trades in a range of 1306-1333 as it … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Global Stock Performance | Tagged , | 4 Comments

The U.S. Wage Gap

Interesting chart from the BLS on the U.S. wage gap by race, age, and gender.  Whatever the cause, it shows the U.S. still has a lot of work to do in closing these gaps through increasing the relative productivity of … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Demographics, Economics, Employment | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Merkel tells Davos that Europe must reform

(click here if video is not observable)

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