Monthly Archives: November 2024

Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – Nov 29

Cracks in Global Economies Amid Easy Financial Conditions Despite the extremely easy financial conditions in the United States as measured by the Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI), significant economic stress is emerging across key markets, exposing vulnerabilities that … Continue reading

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The Original Black Friday?

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Happy Thanksgiving!

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Morning Joe Spiking

Key Facts: Record Prices: Arabica and robusta futures reached their highest levels in nearly five decades. Supply Crisis: Brazil’s drought and Vietnam’s robusta deficits have driven a prolonged global shortage. EU Regulations: Import restrictions tied to deforestation concerns are pressuring … Continue reading

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La France sous pression

Key Facts: Market Impact: French 10-year bond yield spreads hit their highest since 2012, reflecting investor concerns about political instability. Budget Controversy: The €60bn budget proposal includes significant austerity measures, risking parliamentary backlash. Political Stakes: Far-right leader Marine Le Pen’s … Continue reading

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Brace for Stagflationary Policy Shocks | Larry Summers

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QOTD: False Prophets

QOTD = Quote of the Day

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Confessions of ChatGPT

I was playing around with ChatGPT this morning juxtaposing comp sales from Walmart and Target.  I noticed Chat gave me a 4.6 percent y-o-y growth rate for Walmart, which was not what the company reported.  I asked ChatGPT where the … Continue reading

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Argentina’s President Milei: Savior or Destroyer?

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Nonlinear Thinking: Shopping Cart Disruption

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