Author Archives: macromon

Current iPhone Prices

Hmm…  Wonder if the X Max price is hedonically adjusted to compensate for its superior technology to show there really has been no iPhone price inflation? Hedonic quality adjustment is one of the techniques the CPI uses to account for changing … Continue reading

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The fall of FAANG (and other thoughts)

FANGs haunted by worries over a “Splinternet.” Rana is very good.  Her book, Makers and Takers: How Wall Street Destroyed Main Street,  is a must read,  especially the chapter on how private equity, including the current Secretary of Treasury, dubbed The Foreclosure … Continue reading

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S&P500 Key Levels

Wow!  What a wild start to the year. The S&P futures have already traveled 133 points with only one cash session under its belt.  That is equivalent to 5.3 percent of the index. The futures are down almost 30 points … Continue reading

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Adding to Gold Right Now

We are adding to our gold futures trade right here, right now at 1289 with a 1360ish target.  Trailing stop at 1252.00.   Decent risk-reward, in our opinion.  The path of least resistance is now up with 5.5 percent upside to … Continue reading

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Apple Bulls Prepare To Defend The Red Zone

The market has spoken. Apple stock has taken out the Christmas Eve low at $146.59 in tonight’s after-hours trading.   Tough to gauge the true conviction until tomorrow’s open. Nevertheless,  the Apple bulls, which includes Mr. Buffett, need to move into … Continue reading

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Letter from Tim Cook to Apple investors

Apple just released this extraordinary guide down in a letter to investors from Tim Cook.  We are now watching for the stock’s reaction.  We suspect it could be ugly or the stock may have priced most of this.  We have and have had … Continue reading

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QOTD: Druckenmiller On The Squirrelly Markets

Q:  What to you is a logical macro trade at this stage of the cycle?  – Bloomberg A:  Logical doesn’t mean profitable – Stan Druckenmiller, 32.33 minutes (QOTD = Quote of the Day)

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Mme. Euro’s Wild Ride

Buying the euro with an 80 cent handle was such a no-brainer at the beginning of the millennium.  Here?  A much tougher call. We do think the euro, in its current form, will not last. We suspect the first step, … Continue reading

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More Ugly Chinese Economic Data

The fiscal stimulus and trade concessions cometh? The Caixin/Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for December, released on Wednesday, fell to 49.7 from 50.2 in November, marking the first contraction since May 2017. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast only … Continue reading

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Xi Says Taiwan Will Be United With Mainland

Bloomberg is reporting tonight, Chinese President Xi Jinping said Taiwan must be unified with the mainland to achieve his goal of completing the country’s rejuvenation. “China must and will be united, which is an inevitable requirement for the historical rejuvenation … Continue reading

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