Author Archives: macromon

Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – October 18

Weekly SummaryBig rally in Eurozone bond markets as the European Central Bank (ECB) reduced its key interest rate to 3.25%, marking its third 25 basis point cut this year. The decision reflects the ECB’s focus on lowering inflation risks and … Continue reading

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Shorting the U.S. Consumer Is Death

Key Facts: Retail Sales Growth: Retail sales increased 0.4% in September, exceeding expectations of 0.3%. Key Sectors: Clothing sales rose 1.5%, while restaurant and bar sales grew 1.0%. GDP Outlook: The Atlanta Fed raised its Q3 GDP growth estimate to … Continue reading

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Are Market Whisperers Getting Whipsawed?

Here are a couple of headlines from today.   You decide. 

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – October 11

Weekly SummaryEquities are higher, interest rates are higher, expected Fed funds are higher, credit spreads are in, and the dollar is stronger;  ergo market expectations of a stronger economy. 

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COTD: The Bull Market In 50-yard Field Goals

COTD = Chart of the Day This season, teams are making more field goals per game than ever— even as they’re also hitting them from more far-flung distances. Some 29% of this year’s attempts have been from 50-plus yards, far … Continue reading

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Who Win The Nobel Prize In Economics?

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The Myth of Average | Todd Rose

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – October 4

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Korea Exporters Struggle As China Unloads Surplus

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Cup & Handle Patterns Everywhere!

Humans love patterns. Sometimes that’s helpful, but other times… Not so much. Apophenia is the common tendency to detect patterns that do not exist. Also known as “patternicity”, apophenia occurs when we try to make predictions, or seek answers, based … Continue reading

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