Category Archives: Bonds

U.S. Equities Gettin’ Jiggy…No Love for the Haters

Posted on December 10, 2010 by macromon

The Christmas Ramp continues as stocks remain firmly bid even going into this weekend’s monetary event risk in China.   There’s a whiff of panic as under allocated investors watch the markets runaway and refuse to correct (see chart below). The … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, BRICs, Charts, China, Equities, Video | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Global Interest Rate Spike: Young Lady or Old Hag?

Posted on December 8, 2010 by macromon

The epic interest rate spike and U.S. bond sell-off during the past few trading days is generating a fierce market debate.  The bears see it as the beginning of a new phase of the crisis, where sovereign debt woes spread … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Economics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

GOP plan: “Push states to bankruptcy and smash unions”

Posted on December 8, 2010 by macromon

In his Reuters blog,  James Pethokoukis states the biggest political battle in Washington next year will be the Congressional Republicans plan to:  a) avoid a federal bailout of financially troubled states; and b) cripple employee unions by pushing fiscally troubled … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Charts, Muni Market | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

December 7th – A Rate Move Which Will Live In Infamy

Posted on December 7, 2010 by macromon

CNBC puts an interesting spin on the stock market sell-off and reversal in almost all commodities today, blaming the SEC insider trading probe.  We have a different view, believing it was the historic rise in long-term rates. Today’s 23 bps … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Commodities, Credit, Crude Oil, Economics, Equities, Fiscal Policy, Gold, Politics, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

Chart of the Day: ECB Bond Purchases

Posted on December 6, 2010 by macromon

They’ve only just begun…

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Credit, Currency, Economics, Euro, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Merkel Warned EU Germany Could Leave the Euro

Posted on December 4, 2010 by macromon

The slow motion fracturing of the Eurozone continues as revelations surfaced that German chancellor, Angela Merkel warned the EU her country could abandon the euro.  The Guradian reports the threat took place at the EU Summit in Brussels at the … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Euro, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , | 3 Comments

Rogoff on Euro Crisis: “Endgame…a wave of debt writedowns”

Posted on December 2, 2010 by macromon

One of the best pieces we’ve seen on Europe’s debt crisis is Kenneth Rogoff’s, The Euro at Mid-Crisis, posted today over at Project Syndicate.  He doesn’t hold back in criticizing how policymakers, excluding Angela Merkel,  are deluding themselves and in … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Euro, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Chart of the Day: Euro’s Dead Cat Bounce

Posted on December 1, 2010 by macromon

Our Chart of the Day is the Dead Cat Bounce in the Euro.  The currency rallied on rumors of massive QE by the ECB to support the bonds of the PIIGS?  Come on!  QE of such size would drive the … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

ECB About to PIIG Out on Bonds. Gold to the Moon.

Posted on November 30, 2010 by macromon

Just a few short weeks after German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble criticized U.S. monetary policy with his “with all due respect, U.S. policy is clueless” statement, the FT reports the ECB is contemplating expanding its sovereign bond purchase program.  That … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Euro, Fiscal Policy, Gold, PIIGS, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Euro Trashed!

Posted on November 29, 2010 by macromon

Dennis Gartman (click here for video) said today the Euro has “almost terminal problems”and eventually “breaks apart”  into a Northern Euro and Southern Euro.  The currency broke its 200-day moving average against the dollar and looks headed to a very … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Euro, Monetary Policy, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment