Category Archives: Global Stock Performance

The Big Question….

Our friends over at The Chart Store, who do excellent work as exemplified in the following chart,  ask it: Does the S&P have enough energy to hurdle the down trend line after a 24% run from the October bottom? We … Continue reading

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S&P500 Up 4.36% in January

Interesting couple of charts on the S&P500.  The top shows the narrowing upward channel in which the index has traded since the beginning of the year relative to the wider medium-term channel.  The collapse in volatility was the direct result … Continue reading

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Global Markets: One Large Complex Adaptive System

We once read somewhere that there are 10 to the 180th power possible paths to checkmate in a game of chess.   Similarly,  the global markets are one large complex adaptive system and almost impossible to project their short-term macro … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Dollar, Euro, Eurozone Sovereign Spreads, German Bund, Global Stock Performance | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

S&P500 Plays Range Rover, Waits on the Shanghai

As we posted yesterday, the S&P500 appears to be working off an overbought condition by trading in a relatively tight range between 1306 and 1333.   A break of 1306 could take the index back to 1277, which is key support.  … Continue reading

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S&P500 Trying to Work Off Overbought Condition

After breaking through its relatively tight short-term trading range on yesterday’s Fed announcement, the S&P500 ran out of gas at 1333.   Our best guess is that in the short run the S&P500 trades in a range of 1306-1333 as it … Continue reading

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The Dow in the Year of the Dragon

Gong Xi Fa Cai!  恭禧發財 It’s now The Year of the Dragon and the Economist  has posted an interesting piece on the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial and the Chinese astrological calendar. The Economist writes, CHINESE people across the … Continue reading

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Will the Collapse of the Shanghai Composite Drag On?

Shanghai’s channel surfing Panda bears are speaking with a little higher pitch this weekend after getting their ‘hood caught in a vicious squeeze and reversal. The stock index has bounced 8.7 percent off its January 6th lows after falling 31 … Continue reading

Posted in China, Global Stock Performance | Tagged , | 9 Comments

What’s Working in 2012: From Worst to First

Interesting chart from Bespoke illustrating the early theme of 2012 (as of Wednesday) is “From Worst to First.” (click here if charts are not observable)

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S&P500 Heatmap YTD Peformance

Click chart to enlarge and for better resolution. (click here if chart is not observable)

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The Shanghai Bounce

The Shanghai has put in its best two day performance since September ’09, rising 5.8 percent.   After its post crash peak in August 2009,  Chinese stocks have fallen almost 40 percent before hitting their lows last Friday. Expectations of monetary … Continue reading

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