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Category Archives: Uncategorized
Week In Review – June 8
Summary Good week for U.S. equities with Dow outperforming Next stop on the S&P500 is 2801.90 and then the all-time high We are better sellers up there into the fall as the Fed’s balance sheet reduction steps up, which will … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized, Week in Review
Tagged bonds, Commodites, Currencies, Global equity markets, Performance, Stocks, Week in Review
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Global Risk Monitor – June 8
Posted in Daily Risk Monitor, Uncategorized
Tagged bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Global equity markets, Performance, Stocks
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Speaking Of Wile E. Coyote Moments…
The stimulus “is going to hit the economy in a big way this year and next year, and then in 2020 Wile E. Coyote is going to go off the cliff,” Bernanke said, referring to the hapless character in the … Continue reading
Posted in Equity, Uncategorized
Tagged Buffet Indicator, Overvalued, Stock Market Valuation
33 Comments
Nonlinear Thinking: European Inventors Awards
The European Inventor Awards organized by the European Patent Office celebrates inventors not just from Europe but also from the US and Canada… READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2018/06/07/eu…
Swan Lake – June 7
The swans were restless and a bit weaker today. Italy 10-year is blowing out again, now just ten bps below May 29th closing high of 3.16 percent. The yield curve in Italy continues its re-flattening, as shorts seem to be … Continue reading
The Clash Of Generations Cometh
You heard it here first, comrades! https://twitter.com/jameshasson20/status/1004096297316601856?s=21
The Tale Of Two Fat Tails
In a normal probability distribution…blue curve), the odds of risky outcomes (bad stuff happening) are thin at the extremes. In fat-tailed distributions, such outcomes have a greater chance of occurring (the [greenish] curve). Source Non-normal distributions can be heavily skewed and … Continue reading
Posted in Algos, Climate Change, Economics, Uncategorized
Tagged Fat tails, Hawaii, Norther California fires, October Fires, Probability distributions, Volcano
52 Comments
Swan Lake – June 6
The swans were relatively well behaved today. Watch Brazil. Significant move in Italian 2-year, up 35 bps, resulting in big curve flattener. Yields up across the board in Europe as ECB making noises QE is about to change. Mario Draghi … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Uncategorized
Tagged bonds, Commodities, Currencies, ECB, Macro Swans, Stocks
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Italy’s New Government: Who’s Who?
After weeks of negotiation the Italian Government is ready to get to work. But who are the key players? … READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2018/06/06/it…
