Stopped Out Of Pound And S&P

We are out of our S&P short at 2604.  Totally mistimed the positive China stimulus rhetoric overnight.  Can’t win them on.  Clearly, new market psychology for new.  Look to sell higher unless decisive break about 2650.   On to the next trade.

Nervous traders take down the Sterling over one percent before BREXIT vote today, which hit our stop on the March contract at 1.2830.  We still like cable but didn’t want to turn a big win into a loser.  Expecting some more volatility and will put in a limit buy order at 1.26 handle.

Enough of the trading posts.  Time to feed you some real meat.

alpha

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Investors Look to Earnings Amid Market Confusion

Jan.14 — Bloomberg’s Lisa Abramowicz, Henry Peabody, portfolio manager at Eaton Vance Management, and Noah Weisberger, managing director at Sanford Bernstein, discuss market expectations for quarterly earnings. They speak with Bloomberg’s Jonatan Ferro on “Bloomberg Markets: The Open.” – Bloomberg Markets & Finance

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This Day In Financial History

From the great Jason Zweig

January 15:

1987: The New York Stock Exchange racks up daily volume of over a quarter-of-a-billion shares for the first time, as a total of 253.1 million shares are traded.

http://www.nyse.com/marketinfo/

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The Best of CES 2019 – Engadget

Oops, we made a mistake! Impossible Burgers are plant-based, not a lab-grown meat. Read more: https://www.engadget.com/2019/01/10/b…

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The 2020 Senate Map

Break out the Lavender crayons.  Again.

senate map_2020

Hat Tip: @RedwoodGirl

 

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free rider_2

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British Pound Trade – OCO Order

We have over $8k unrealized profit in our cable trade and expect some two-way volatility around the BREXIT vote today.

We are thus putting in an OCO (One-Cancels-The-Other) order on 5 contracts of B6H19 with a limit at 1.3050 and stop at 1.2830,  just below the 50-day.  If we get taken out, don’t mind buying higher.

Conversely, don’t want to turn a winner into a loser in the event traders get spooked.  Not sure the market would be comfortable contemplating a potential Jeremy Corbyn government over the next few weeks.

bp

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UPDATE: S&P500 Short

If you missed it, we sold five S&P500 e-minis at 2582 into the close.   The Doji like daily candlesticks over the past few trading sessions was our sell signal.  Note Doji’s have been the closest to ringing a bell at the short-term top in this correction.  It’s worth a bet, in our book.

Moving Up Stop

They are ramping ’em in the overnight session and our position is now 13 points underwater.  In haste, we put in a stop in at 2602 but now moving it up to 2604Not a good habit to move stops when a position is moving against you but we will take a waiver on this one. 

Note also the stop is pretty tight (less than 1 percent) for a 19 VIX.

Retail Traders And SPY

For those who don’t trade futures or have no account,  a short can be executed in the S&P ETF, SPY.

Many like to play in the inverse S&P ETFs, and some even provide double and triple leverage – such as SDS, and SPXU.   Only for professionals looking for a quick levered cash trade, in our opinion, and then tread carefully as these beasts behave squirrelly and should be used only for day trades.

If you didn’t get your short off at today’s close and the overnight gains hold, consider yourself lucky for a higher entry in the morning.

Stop on the SPY short is 260.25

s&p_doji

 

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Brexit by numbers: a few figures on May’s EU divorce woes

With just one vote left on Theresa May’s EU divorce deal, Euronews’ Raw Politics team takes at a few Brexit numbers.…

READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2019/01/14/br…

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S&P500 Key Levels

Our daily Doji candlestick, though not perfect but close enough for government work, was triggered at the close.  The S&P rally has stalled and is having trouble cracking through 2600.

Squeezey in the overnight session with futures up 16 handles, probably, in part, due to strength in Asia stocks, especially the Hang Seng.

Though it is not wise to move stops when the market is moving against your position, we are moving our stop on the S&P e-minis up 3 points to 2604, which corresponds to a 2601-ish cash price.  That is where we want to be.  We stuck the 2601 stop in at the close in haste to get the trade off and the info out to you.

So, 2797.92, Thursday and the January high, on the cash is the marker to the upside.  The key downside level to watch is  2573.61, the .382 Fibo retracement of the current correction is the downside support level.

s&p

 

s&p_chart

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Shorting S&P500 Futures Into Close

Looks like we are going to get the Doji candlestick, or close to it, today, which is our sell signal and entry point.   Selling 5 e-mini futures right in here at 2582.  Stop at 2601.  Target 2400.   May add if 2573 breaks.

Retail traders should look at the S&P500 ETF, SPY.   Back to you on those data points.

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