Tag Archives: bonds

Global Trend Indicators

(click here if tables are not observable)

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Week in Review: Deal, Now What?

Almost everything that happened last week is irrelevant given what looks like a U.S. debt deal.  What we’re watching is how the relief rally holds and whether the Friday’s poor GDP data was a game changer.  Looking under the surface … Continue reading

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Global Trend Indicators

(click here if tables are not observable)

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Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 5

Only one of the Four Horsemen of the our Armageddon Trade is misbehaving, that is, not confirming by moving in the wrong direction.  Stocks, which, some have touted as the new safe haven, have been hit the most and dollar … Continue reading

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Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 4

Looks like the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse spent the day watering their horses.  Not much happening in our Armageddon Trade today.  Gold, which is trading poorly,  bounced off the lows and stocks reversed a decent rally to close lower.   … Continue reading

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Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 3

The Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse were split on the Armageddon Trade today.  Gold and the dollar diverged and were non-confirming, though stocks got hammered and took out some short-term technicals.  Bonds rallied off lows to close essentially flat.    … Continue reading

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Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 2

Still no panic, but lower.  The dollar took the biggest beating and looks ready to take out its May lows.  Only T-Bonds of the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse moved contrary to what we call the Armageddon trade, where gold … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Credit, Currency, Dollar, Equities, Fiscal Policy, Gold | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Monitoring the Armageddon Trade

The following charts illustrate today’s performance of “The Four Horsemen” of our Armageddon trade, which we posted earlier.  That is, the markets were monitoring for large concurrent moves which would signal a loss of confidence in the U.S. government and … Continue reading

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The Armageddon Trade

Here are the four markets we do not want to see large concurrent sustained moves in the direction as illustrated. (click here if picture is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Dollar, Equities, Gold, Politics, Sovereign Debt | Tagged , , , , | 8 Comments

Global Trend Indicators

(click here if tables are not observable)

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