Tag Archives: Economy

Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Dec 12

Global markets closed the week with a clear message: policy easing is supporting risk appetite, but leadership is rotating, and stresses are emerging beneath the surface. The Federal Reserve’s December rate cut reinforced expectations that the tightening cycle is firmly … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Nov 28

KEY ISSUES Silver surged 13% for the week and is now up over 90% year-to-date—vastly outperforming Bitcoin, which is down 3% on the year. Eurozone banks climbed 5% during the week and are now nearly 70% higher year-to-date when accounting … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – Nov 21

Global markets navigated a risk-off week marked by renewed doubts over the durability of the AI-driven equity rally, rising volatility, and shifting expectations for a December U.S. rate cut. Strong corporate earnings failed to offset investor concerns about inflated tech … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Nov 14

Global economic activity showed mixed momentum, with markets navigating a choppy week shaped by the end of a prolonged 43-day U.S. government shutdown and increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve communications. U.S. equities initially rallied on optimism but ultimately ended broadly flat … Continue reading

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Tariff Reality Roasts the White House

On April 6, the Global Macro Monitor wrote: The strategy’s incoherence is evident in absurd measures such as, for example, a tariff on coffee, an import for which the U.S. lacks viable domestic production except de minimis production in Hawaii and … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – October 31

Global markets ended the week mixed as a U.S.–China trade truce and a widely anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut drove both relief and uncertainty. While U.S. equities held near record highs, global sentiment was tempered by uneven central bank actions … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – August 15

Investor appetite for risk continues to surge as U.S. corporate credit spreads tighten to levels not seen in nearly three decades. Investment-grade spreads have narrowed to just 88 basis points, the tightest since 1997, according to Bloomberg. A parallel trend … Continue reading

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On Becoming Argentina

Today’s Drudge Report headline, with George Washington staring from a dollar bill under the headline “NATL DEBT $37 TRILLION” and accusations of falsified inflation data, encapsulates the growing perception that America’s fiscal and political trajectory is veering toward Banana Republic … Continue reading

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The Big Mac Index: My Global Currency Reality Check

As an international economist earlier in my career, I long appreciated The Economist‘s Big Mac Index, a deceptively simple yet revealing tool for assessing purchasing power parity (PPP) and currency under or overvaluation. In the Economist’s latest iteration, the Index … Continue reading

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Tariffs and Toothpaste: The Inflation You Didn’t Expect

“This is a highly fluid situation and we’ll need to manage quantity decisions as we measure the price elasticity of impacted items,” underscoring how Walmart adjusts its inventory and pricing strategy based on customers’ sensitivity to price changes.” – John … Continue reading

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