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Tag Archives: finance
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Dec 12
Global markets closed the week with a clear message: policy easing is supporting risk appetite, but leadership is rotating, and stresses are emerging beneath the surface. The Federal Reserve’s December rate cut reinforced expectations that the tightening cycle is firmly … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Nov 28
KEY ISSUES Silver surged 13% for the week and is now up over 90% year-to-date—vastly outperforming Bitcoin, which is down 3% on the year. Eurozone banks climbed 5% during the week and are now nearly 70% higher year-to-date when accounting … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – Nov 21
Global markets navigated a risk-off week marked by renewed doubts over the durability of the AI-driven equity rally, rising volatility, and shifting expectations for a December U.S. rate cut. Strong corporate earnings failed to offset investor concerns about inflated tech … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Nov 14
Global economic activity showed mixed momentum, with markets navigating a choppy week shaped by the end of a prolonged 43-day U.S. government shutdown and increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve communications. U.S. equities initially rallied on optimism but ultimately ended broadly flat … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – October 31
Global markets ended the week mixed as a U.S.–China trade truce and a widely anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut drove both relief and uncertainty. While U.S. equities held near record highs, global sentiment was tempered by uneven central bank actions … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – August 15
Investor appetite for risk continues to surge as U.S. corporate credit spreads tighten to levels not seen in nearly three decades. Investment-grade spreads have narrowed to just 88 basis points, the tightest since 1997, according to Bloomberg. A parallel trend … Continue reading
On Becoming Argentina
Today’s Drudge Report headline, with George Washington staring from a dollar bill under the headline “NATL DEBT $37 TRILLION” and accusations of falsified inflation data, encapsulates the growing perception that America’s fiscal and political trajectory is veering toward Banana Republic … Continue reading
The Big Mac Index: My Global Currency Reality Check
As an international economist earlier in my career, I long appreciated The Economist‘s Big Mac Index, a deceptively simple yet revealing tool for assessing purchasing power parity (PPP) and currency under or overvaluation. In the Economist’s latest iteration, the Index … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – June 27
Last week’s market tone reflected a convergence of stabilizing macro forces: easing geopolitical tensions, falling oil prices, and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. But beneath these surface-level catalysts lies a far more powerful narrative: the AI revolution. AI … Continue reading
Global Risk Montior: Week in Review – June 13
This week presented a paradox that seasoned portfolio and hedge fund managers will recognize immediately: risk is rising, but price action remains oddly composed. With geopolitical tensions escalating in the Middle East, oil surging, and inflation data surprising to the … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 