-
In economics, things take longer to happen than you think they will, and then they happen faster than you thought they could.
Contribute To GMM
Categories
- 3D Printing
- Agriculture
- AI
- Algos
- Apple
- Automation
- Banking
- BFTP
- Bitcoin
- Black Swan Watch
- Bonds
- Brazil
- Brexit
- BRICs
- Budget Deficit
- Capital Flows
- Cartoon of the Day
- Cashless Society
- Chart of the Day
- Charts
- China
- Clean Tech
- Climate Change
- Coach C
- Commodities
- Coronavirus
- Credit
- Crude Oil
- Currency
- Cyprus
- Daily Risk Monitor
- Day In History
- Debt
- Demographics
- Dollar
- Earnings
- ECB
- Economics
- Economist
- Egypt
- Electric Vehicles
- Emerging Markets
- Employment
- Energy
- Environment
- Equities
- Equity
- Euro
- Eurozone Sovereign Spreads
- Exchange Rates
- Fed
- Finance and the Good Society
- FinTech
- Fiscal Cliff Monitor
- Fiscal Policy
- Food Prices
- France
- Futurist
- Game Theory
- General Interest
- Geopolitical
- German Bund
- Germany
- Global Risk Monitor
- Global Stock Performance
- Global Trend Indicators
- Gold
- Greece
- Healthcare
- Heat Map
- Hedge Funds
- Housing
- Human Interest
- Immigration
- Impeachment
- India
- Inequality
- Inflation/Deflation
- Infographics
- Innovation
- Institutional Investors
- Interest Rate Monitor
- Interest Rates
- Interviews
- Italian Yields
- Italy
- Japan
- Jobs
- Lectures
- Macro Notes from Conference Calls
- Manufacturing
- Masters
- Mexico
- Monetary Policy
- Movies
- Muni Bonds
- Muni Market
- Natural Gas
- News
- Nonlinear Thinking
- North Korea
- Overbought Markets
- Picture of the Day
- PIIGS
- PMIs
- Policy
- Politics
- Population
- Populism
- Portolio
- Poverty
- President Trump
- Qunat Strategies
- Quote of the Day
- Quotes
- Rare Earth Elements
- Readership
- Reads
- Real Estate
- Relative Strength Index
- Robert Shiller
- RSIs
- S&P500
- Sector ETF Peformance
- Social Media
- Socialism
- Song for the Week
- Sovereign Debt
- Sovereign Risk
- Spain
- Sports
- State and Local Government
- Tail Risk
- Technical Analysis
- Technology
- The Weekend Read
- This Day In Financial History
- Trade War
- Trades
- Tweet of the Day
- Ugly Chart Contest
- Uncategorized
- US Releases
- Video
- Volatility
- Wages
- Week Ahead
- Week in Review
- Weekend Reads
- Weekly Eurozone Watch
- Whales
-
Recent Posts
Meta
Tag Archives: Polls
More Brexit Polling
More than half the public – 55% – now think it would have been better never to have held the EU referendum given the difficulties of reaching an agreement on Brexit, according to the latest Opinium/Observer poll. …If a second referendum … Continue reading
Mexico: Obrador holds 11-point lead
MEXICO CITY – Mexican leftist candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador has a nearly 11 percentage point lead over his closest rival ahead of the July presidential election, a poll published by newspaper El Universal on Monday showed. López Obrador has capitalized on … Continue reading
Posted in Mexico, Politics, Uncategorized
Tagged El Universal, Mexico, Obrador, Polls, Presidential Election
Leave a comment
Presidential Polls and Prediction Markets
Great piece by PBS NewsHour on divining the polls and predicting the next POTUS. Ray Fair’s economic model is fascinating. BTW, Romney’s probability of becoming the next POTUS has doubled in the past few weeks at Intrade. The VEEP debate … Continue reading
August Presidential Polls vs. Final Vote Count
It’s August and time to start thinking about the Presidential election though nothing really matters until after Labor Day, in our opinion, especially in a race that is so tight. The latest Gallup tracking poll of registered voters has the … Continue reading
Posted in Politics
Tagged Gallup Tracking, Governor Romney, Polls, President Obama, Presidential Election
1 Comment
Romney’s Odds Ramp on Deteriorating Employment Data
Check out the trading at Intrade right around the employment data released this morning. The odds of Romney winning the November election ramped about 3 percentage points right after the jobs number was released. Rahm Emmanuel in an interview with … Continue reading
