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Tag Archives: Stocks
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Dec 12
Global markets closed the week with a clear message: policy easing is supporting risk appetite, but leadership is rotating, and stresses are emerging beneath the surface. The Federal Reserve’s December rate cut reinforced expectations that the tightening cycle is firmly … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Nov 28
KEY ISSUES Silver surged 13% for the week and is now up over 90% year-to-date—vastly outperforming Bitcoin, which is down 3% on the year. Eurozone banks climbed 5% during the week and are now nearly 70% higher year-to-date when accounting … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – Nov 21
Global markets navigated a risk-off week marked by renewed doubts over the durability of the AI-driven equity rally, rising volatility, and shifting expectations for a December U.S. rate cut. Strong corporate earnings failed to offset investor concerns about inflated tech … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – August 15
Investor appetite for risk continues to surge as U.S. corporate credit spreads tighten to levels not seen in nearly three decades. Investment-grade spreads have narrowed to just 88 basis points, the tightest since 1997, according to Bloomberg. A parallel trend … Continue reading
The Big Mac Index: My Global Currency Reality Check
As an international economist earlier in my career, I long appreciated The Economist‘s Big Mac Index, a deceptively simple yet revealing tool for assessing purchasing power parity (PPP) and currency under or overvaluation. In the Economist’s latest iteration, the Index … Continue reading
Global Risk Montior: Week in Review – June 13
This week presented a paradox that seasoned portfolio and hedge fund managers will recognize immediately: risk is rising, but price action remains oddly composed. With geopolitical tensions escalating in the Middle East, oil surging, and inflation data surprising to the … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Weekly Update – April 11
The United States’ current tariff regime reveals not a strategic plan but an erratic response to market volatility, suggesting a governing philosophy resembling reactive day trading more closely than structured economic policymaking. As the week’s developments show, the absence of … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – February 28
The past week saw heightened market volatility, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declining due to fading AI momentum and a growth scare, while the Dow Jones outperformed. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model slashed Q1 GDP growth projections to -1.5%, … Continue reading
Buffett Building Big Buffer: Time to Buckle Up?
Warren Buffett’s recent moves in the stock market signal a strong defensive posture, one that suggests a serious market correction may be on the horizon. Over the past several years, Berkshire Hathaway has been a net seller of equities, shedding … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – February 21
Key Facts: The S&P 500 (-1.7%), Dow Jones (-2.51%), and Nasdaq (-2.51%) fell this week amid tariff concerns and weak economic data. The Russell 2000 (-3.71%) and Dow Transports (-3.45%) underperformed, reflecting slowing economic activity. Nvidia (+18%) gained on AI … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 