Monthly Archives: June 2012

Current State of the Market in a Sea of Volatility – 2.0

Time for another re-post. Amazing how things have changed very little since last September.  Still waiting for that comprehensive plan. The Current State of the Market in a Sea of Volatility Originally Posted on September 13, 2011 The picture below really … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities, Euro | Tagged , , , , , | 13 Comments

Fail

In last night’s post we commented on the spike in equity futures and lust for risk assets on the back of the Spanish bank bailout, Mr. Risk and the S&P’s have gapped up through resistance in overnight trading on the … Continue reading

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Bank bailout little relief for Spain’s unemployed

(click here if video is not observable)

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Was That a Bear Trap?

The S&P500 had a “cup of coffee” below its 200-day, which got the bears all lathered up and their you know what ripped off.    Mr. Risk and the S&P’s have gapped up through resistance in overnight trading on the Spanish … Continue reading

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Week in Review

Key Data Points S&P500, Dow, and FTSE have best week of 2012; Shanghai has worst week of 2012; Ultra T-Bond has its worst week of 2012; VIX falls over 20 percent for largest weekly decline of the year. (click here … Continue reading

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Fareed Zakaria: Rahm Emanuel on Pensions

Fareed’s interview with the the mayor of Chicago, Rahm Emanuel, really drives home the fact the U.S. global pension problem is nonpartisan.   Burden sharing is coming. “It is not sustainable now.” (click here if video is not observable)

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Global Trend Indicators

(click here if tables are not observable)

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Stratfor: European Banking Union

(click here if video is not observable)

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Weekly Eurozone Watch: Squeezola!

Key Data Points German 10-year Bund yield up 15.7 bps; Italy 12 bps tighter; Spain 47 bps tighter; Portugal 105 tighter; Ireland 20 bps tighter; Greece 176 bps tighter; Spanish banks up 10+ percent; Euro FX up 0.40 percent; (click … Continue reading

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Nonlinear Thinking: Perspective!

One of our golf buddies, who is an engineer, sent this over today.  It really illustrates why we should think about the future with a nonlinear framework.  Simply amazing! Hat tip to James M.! (click here if photo is not … Continue reading

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