Monthly Archives: January 2013

Daily Interest Rate Monitor

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Excess Reserves Declining

Keep this one on your radar.   Excess reserves of depository institutions are beginning to decline,  down $183 billion, or 11.3 percent,  from their peak in November 2011 This is where much of the Fed’s money printing or balance sheet … Continue reading

Posted in Monetary Policy | Tagged , , , | 12 Comments

Equities Overbought, Yen Massively Oversold

The Nikkei’s 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) exceeds 80 and we can’t recall ever seeing anything as short-term oversold — in a hard currency market — as the yen/dollar with its RSI of 10.   The Russell 2000 is the … Continue reading

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Global Trend Indicators

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Week in Review: Markets Scream Overbought

We’ve added Spain’s IBEX, Italy’s MIB, the Russia Market Vectors ETF, the Australian dollar to the list of equity indices and currencies we monitor.   In addition, we have switched to the CRB Continuous Commodity Index, which is less energy heavy … Continue reading

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The Economist Gets It…

That is, why governments need asset bubbles as the average real wage falls.   See our post, America’s Bubble Dependent Economy. This also goes a long way in explaining the reelection of President Obama even with stubbornly high unemployment and a weak … Continue reading

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VIX Has Largest Weekly Down Move Since Inception

The CBOE has a nice piece out noting this week’s 39.1 percent collapse in the VIX was the largest weekly percent down move since the index was launched in January 1990.  The week also saw record volume days for the … Continue reading

Posted in Global Stock Performance, Monetary Policy, Sovereign Debt | Tagged , , , | 4 Comments

Weekend Lecture: Antifragility

Short, sweet, and social for the millennials this weekend. Essayist Nassim Nicholas Taleb on how we can benefit from disorder.    –  AlJazeeraEnglish (click here if video is not observable)

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U.S. Equity Sector ETF Performance – January 4

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Weekly Eurozone Watch: Spread Compression Continues

Key Data Points German 10-year Bund 23 bps higher; France 8 bps tighter to the Bund; Ireland 35 bps tighter; Italy 46 bps tighter; Spain 43 bps tighter; Portugal 91 bps tighter; Greece 88 bps wider; Large Eurozone banks rise … Continue reading

Posted in Weekly Eurozone Watch | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments