Monthly Archives: October 2018

Global Risk Monitor – October 26


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QOTD: The Taiwan Strait

Repeatedly challenging our bottom line (on the Taiwan question) is extremely dangerous,  If someone attempts to split Taiwan from China, the Chinese military will take any necessary actions at any cost. – General Wei Fenghe, Chinese Defense Minister

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Where The Next Financial Crisis Begins

We are not sure of how the next financial crisis will exactly unfold but reasonably confident it will have its roots in the following analysis.   Maybe it has already begun. The U.S. Treasury market is the center of the financial … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, ECB, Fed, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 33 Comments

The Economic Consequences of Mr. Trump – Project Syndicate

With unemployment at a 50-year low, wages starting to pick up, and the stock market booming, the US economy has defied expectations since the 2016 election. Nobel laureates Angus Deaton and Edmund Phelps, along with Barry Eichengreen, Rana Foroohar, and … Continue reading

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And little children will lead them

Wolves will live with lambs. Leopards will lie down with goats. Calves, young lions, and year-old lambs will be together, and little children will lead them. – The Book of Isaiah The country should take the lead from these children. … Continue reading

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America Thirst: China’s Flows Worrisome – Art Cashin

Just before the close, Art Cashin, one of the best out there, cited the weak Treasury auctions and, ergo, worries China is pulling back on its Treasury purchases as a major factor behind the ugly stock sell-off. Click here for … Continue reading

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Foreigners Fleeing Treasuries

You heard it here first, folks.   More analysis to come.  Only massive haven flows can save the bond market, and that ain’t good, is it? Hey, Mr. President, ever think you're going to shift your complaining away from Powell … Continue reading

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Mr. October And Me

Ahh, the Fall Classic! We’re not talking about October stock market corrections but the World Series!   The Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers square off tonight to begin the 114th October Classic.     The last time the two teams … Continue reading

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How to prepare for the next global recession | The Economist

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Harbinger? Dropping Like A BlackRock

                   Source:   Holger Zschaepitz @Schuldensuehner Wow.   Completely missed the 34 percent flop in Blackrock, the world’s most massive shadow bank, from its $594.52 January high.   Now trading through the key $400 level, with … Continue reading

Posted in Earnings, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 24 Comments