Category Archives: Black Swan Watch

Stratfor: Problems With a “Greek Euro”

Posted on May 25, 2012 by macromon

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, Video | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

About that other 800 pound Macro Swan in the room…

Posted on May 24, 2012 by macromon

Good stuff from the Economist’s cover story and 14-page special report on China’s economy.  Run, don’t walk, to read it.  Here’s a taste, CHINA’S weight in the global economy means that it commands the world’s attention. When its industrial production, … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, BRICs, China | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Grexit Would Be Fugly

Posted on May 23, 2012 by macromon

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Video | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Commodities in the Kamode

Posted on May 23, 2012 by macromon

Commodities are breaking hard.  Who knows where they bounce, but it does feel a bit overdone here.  Note the chart illustrates when the CRB is this oversold — an RSI reading of around 20 — it sets up for a … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, BRICs, China, Commodities, Crude Oil | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

OECD: Eurozone Biggest Tail Risk

Posted on May 22, 2012 by macromon

(click here if video is not observable)

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Apple, housing, and this merde market

Posted on May 22, 2012 by macromon

Merde markets! We had a plan to unload our longs (mostly Apple) in the pre-market or at the open.  We were expecting some follow through from yesterday’s ramp but didn’t think it would hold.  We were lucky enough to get … Continue reading →

Posted in Apple, Black Swan Watch, Equities | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Parallel Universes: Refloating the Costa Concordia

Posted on May 21, 2012 by macromon

The parallels to the Eurozone are downright spooky.  Let’s hope both projects are a success. The Brisbane Times writes, Salvage crews will employ huge cranes and air tanks to refloat the half-submerged Costa Concordia cruise liner in the largest ever … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Facebook as the “Ultimate Black Swan”

Posted on May 20, 2012 by macromon

We have half joked about this on Friday after a ton of the Facebook traded around its IPO price of $38 and no doubt many of the shares came back to the Street.   Oliver Stone couldn’t write a better script. … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Monetary Policy | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Stratfor: Germany’s Eurozone Dilemma

Posted on May 18, 2012 by macromon

It’s the politics, stupid!  Will the Germans and the rest of the core open up their checkbook to the periphery?  Doubtful. (click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Flopbook!

Posted on May 18, 2012 by macromon

Why do we have this sense JP MO and Morgan Stanley are going to own a large book of Facebook stock at $38?   Maybe FB stock will be the Fed’s asset of choice during the next round of QE since … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities | Tagged , , | 3 Comments