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Category Archives: Charts
Why Europe Can’t Afford a Greek Haircut
If a picture is worth a thousand words, the following chart from the IMF encapsulates all the analysis one needs to understand why Mr. Trichet and the rest of the Eurozone bureaucracy are so adamant about not letting Greece restructure … Continue reading
Support of the Masses
Just a quick little chart for the weekend to show how the major indices are at or near key support levels. Here we have the CRB Index breaking short-term support yesterday and just barely closing through its 200-day moving average. … Continue reading
Who Owns the U.S. Equity Market?
The following chart shows who holds U.S. equities, including foreign shares traded in the U.S.. at the end of March 2011. Notice that 36 percent of the market value of shares were held by the household sector. Our good … Continue reading
Debt and Leverage in Advanced Economies
The following is one of the most comprehensive snapshots of relative debt and leverage in the major advanced economies. The source of the table is the IMF’s Global Financial Stability Report (page 11). We find interesting that U.S. debt held … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Economics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged Debt, European Debt Crisis, Japan, Leverage, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt
3 Comments
Sino Support Levels
The China story is under pressure and weighing on the markets. We shall soon find out if Jim Chanos is correct and how robust the Asian economy is as credit driven bubbles begin to burst. Watch these important weekly levels … Continue reading
The Great QE2 Flush Out
We’ve updated our Treasury flow charts with new data from today’s release of the Federal Reserve’s Flow of Funds Accounts. The quarterly data are seasonally adjusted and annualized. They reveal quite an interesting picture. In Q1 2011, the Fed’s … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Dollar, Equities, Monetary Policy, Sovereign Debt
Tagged bonds, Commodities, QE2, Reallocation, Stocks
4 Comments
S&P500 Down First Six Days of June – Party Like It’s 1991?
The S&P500 closed 0.42 percent lower today, the sixth consecutive down day to start the month of June. Only once in the past 60 years has the S&P started June with six straight lower closes. After an 18.24 percent early … Continue reading
Posted in Charts, Economics, Equities, Politics
Tagged Chart Analog, June Swoon, S&P500, Stock market correction
3 Comments
Lumber Prices: Leading Indicator for Private Nonfarm Payrolls?
In the chart below we take a look at the relationship between lumber prices and private nonfarm payrolls. Clearly they tend to move together on a monthly basis. One of the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy is the impact … Continue reading
Posted in Charts, Commodities, Employment, Housing
Tagged Lumber Prices, Nonfarm Payrolls
4 Comments
First Trading Day of June: 1962-2011
Today’s 2.28 percent decline in the S&P500 ranks as the second worst start of June in the past 50 years. Since 1962 there have 29 up days and 21 down days to start the month. The S&P closed below the … Continue reading
When Apple Leads, the Market Catches Fire
Apple was up over $10 today in a rare 3 percent plus move not related to an earnings release and its biggest gain since the 3.28 percent January 24th bounce after the post earnings sell-off. The stock was bolstered by … Continue reading
