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Category Archives: China
HSBC’s China PMI Turns Up
This is going to catch many leaning the wrong way. The Australian writes, THE preliminary HSBC China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index, a gauge of nationwide manufacturing activity, rebounded strongly in October, rising to 51.1 from a final reading of 49.9 … Continue reading
Posted in China, Commodities
Tagged China Growth, China Hard Landing, HSBC China PMI
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China’s U.S. Debt Holdings
(click here if chart is not observable)
In China, Black Market iPhone Costs $1700
(click here if video is not observable)
China’s Dwindling Trade Surplus Signals Weak World Economy
(click here if video is not observable)
Posted in Black Swan Watch, China, Video
Tagged China, Exports, Imports, Trade Surplus, World Economy
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First and Goal for Risk
We asked last week if the S&P500 (our proxy for risk markets) was capable of clearing the “red zone”, the zone of resistance between 1175-1195, which included the 50-day moving average. The market’s answer? Like a hot knife through butter! … Continue reading
Posted in Charts, China, Equities
Tagged China, Europe, Risk Markets, S&P500, U.S. Economy
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Local Government Financing in China
Yikes! Look what California’s dependence on tax revenues from the dot.com and housing bubbles did to that state’s fiscal health. We’re going to see some fugly naked bodies when the tide recedes in China. Keep this one on your … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, China, Muni Market, State and Local Government
Tagged China, Land Sales, Local Government
3 Comments
China Notes from the Yum! Brands Earnings Call
Today’s Yum! Brands’ earnings conference call was dominated by China. Management talked a lot about commodity inflation running around 8 percent and 20% labor inflation, which they do not yet see abating. This doesn’t square with the August official inflation … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, China, Commodities
Tagged China, Inflation, Wages, Yum! Brands
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Hang Seng Down 5 percent in Morning Session
The Hang Seng is really taking it on the chin in the morning session. Recall the Hong Kong index is one of our leading indicator species for global risk appetite. We don’t know what the Hang Seng’s swan dive this … Continue reading
Gold Dispensing ATMs Arrive in China
Here’s something the Chinese can celebrate on their National Day, the celebration of the 62nd year of the communist party’s rise to power. These machines are made in Germany and illustrate the growing influence of China as a destination of … Continue reading
Third Macro Panda Huffs and Puffs…
Over the weekend we posted a piece on the three McBears weighing on global markets. As all eyes continue to focus on Europe the third macro bear — China — is beginning to growl a little louder. Greece is no … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, BRICs, China, Credit, Equities
Tagged China, Hard Landing
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