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Category Archives: Equities
Will The Algos Crush The Shorts Once Again?
If there is one thing we have learned over the past few years, “the algos will find you out”. Add to that, always bet against the fast money crowd. According to Bloomberg, the shorts have been upping their positions … Continue reading
Talking ’bout Mexico – JT
So King David at thinkinthemorning.com sends over an article showing U.S. stocks with revenue exposure to Mexico. Starts us thinking about who is smarter, equity traders or currency traders, who follows who, or who is fooled by randomness? . … Continue reading
Posted in Currency, Equities, Geopolitical, Uncategorized
Tagged Johnson Controls, Kansas City Southern, Mexican Peso, Mexico
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The Transition Trade
Nice chart (hat tip King David over at thinkinthemoring.com) from Wall Street Journal on the return of the Dow Jones after election day to the inauguration of presidents all the way back to McKinley when the Dow index was created. … Continue reading
Posted in Equities, Politics
Tagged Dow Jones Return, Herbert Hoover, Presidential Transitions, Returns, The Dow Jones, Transition
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Reagan-Trump S&P500 Analog
We continue to track the meaningless (in terms of projecting trajectory) Reagan-Trump S&P500 analog. At their respective inaugurations, the Trump S&P is outperforming Reagan by 4.4 percent. Note, Trump was inaugurated 51 trading days after the election whereas Reagan’s inauguration … Continue reading
Obama’s Bull Market
Posted in Equities
Tagged bull market, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Obama, Stock Returns
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TOTD: Who Owns The U.S. Equity Market?
(TOTD = Table of the Day)
Posted in Equities, Uncategorized
Tagged Major Holders, Major Holders of U.S. Equities, U.S. Stock Market
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How Are Those “Crowded Trades” Doing?
We take a look here at what BofA/Merrill Lynch has surveyed as the “most crowded trades” in the market. Most are taking on water as the crowd is leaning to the same side of the boat. Big losses for Japanese … Continue reading
Posted in Currency, Dollar, Equities
Tagged Crowded Trades, dollar, Dollar Index, Japanese Yen, Russell 2000, U.S. Tech, XLK
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Reagan-Trump S&P500 Analog
Trump rally holding. Now outperforming Reagan’s S&P by 3.13 percent after 47 days from election day. Meaningless in terms of predicting future performance. But, fun, no?
Reagan-Trump S&P500 Analog: Tracking
We’re still tracking the Reagan-Trump S&P500 analog. We’ve noted it’s a fun exercise and probably useless in predicting the future move in the index given the different macroeconomic initial conditions at the beginning of both Administrations. But, hold on! … Continue reading
How Is That Reagan-Trump S&P500 Analog Working Out?
So far, at the close of 2016, the Trump S&P500 is outperforming the Reagan S&P500 by 0.38 percent, 38 days after the close of their respective election days. The Trump bump has been a relatively steady climb before rolling over … Continue reading
