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Category Archives: Equities
Quote of the Day: Stock Gurus
The secret to being a stock market guru isn’t to be correct but to make very loud and frequent predictions. As soon as the market moves in your direction you proclaim victory. The key is to make sure that no … Continue reading
Hang Seng Falls 7th Straight Day
We take notice when the Hang Seng speaks as it is one of our indicator species for global risk appetite. The index closed down for the seventh consecutive day, which has initially happened only 14 times since 1987, and is … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities, Global Stock Performance
Tagged Hang seng, Risk Indicator
2 Comments
The Great QE2 Flush Out
We’ve updated our Treasury flow charts with new data from today’s release of the Federal Reserve’s Flow of Funds Accounts. The quarterly data are seasonally adjusted and annualized. They reveal quite an interesting picture. In Q1 2011, the Fed’s … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Dollar, Equities, Monetary Policy, Sovereign Debt
Tagged bonds, Commodities, QE2, Reallocation, Stocks
4 Comments
S&P500 Down First Six Days of June – Party Like It’s 1991?
The S&P500 closed 0.42 percent lower today, the sixth consecutive down day to start the month of June. Only once in the past 60 years has the S&P started June with six straight lower closes. After an 18.24 percent early … Continue reading
Posted in Charts, Economics, Equities, Politics
Tagged Chart Analog, June Swoon, S&P500, Stock market correction
3 Comments
S&P500 Numerology
U.S. equities continued their downtrend with the S&P500 closing off 1.08 percent on the day. The chart below illustrates how the mid-day hard sell-off in Apple took the S&P500 with it (see here for Apple’s leadership role). The market was … Continue reading
Posted in Apple, Equities
Tagged 200-day moving average, Apple, S&P500, Stock market correction
1 Comment
First Trading Day of June: 1962-2011
Today’s 2.28 percent decline in the S&P500 ranks as the second worst start of June in the past 50 years. Since 1962 there have 29 up days and 21 down days to start the month. The S&P closed below the … Continue reading
74% of SPY Gap Open Filled!
A quick update on our earlier post on today’s S&P500 gap open. The SPY made an intraday low of $133.84 after its 0.93 percent gap up at the open at $134.77. This closed 74 percent of the gap, consistent with … Continue reading
Fading the Open
The overnight markets are all lathered up and maybe offside on the Greece bailout news (haven’t we seen this picture before?) so we thought we’d take a quick look at gap up opens in the SPY (S&P500) ETF. Since … Continue reading
All Major Global Equity Markets Close Below Their 50-day M.A.
What a difference a trading day makes. As of Friday’s close only seven of the fourteen major global indices that we track were below their 50-day moving averages. As of today, they all are. The S&P500, Dow (just barely), Nasdaq, … Continue reading
Did the Gold/Silver Ratio Signal Risk Off?
Many have written about the gold/silver ratio as a leading indicator of risk and equity appetite (see here and here) so we won’t take your time explaining the relationship. We do point out in our chart the speculative blow … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Charts, Equities, Global Stock Performance, Gold
Tagged Flight to Quality, Gold/Silver Ratio, Risk Aversion, S&P500
2 Comments
