eBay Trends

eBay reported earnings after the bell beating top line estimates (see here for presentation).  They delivered organic y/y revenue growth of 19 percent, very impressive in such current sluggish macro environment.   We’re thinking the market rewards revenue growers.

This stock is in one nice trend, which reflects the company’s steady revenue and profit growth.  Very predictable bouts of profit taking before moving higher.

Let’s now see if the stock can take out the January 8th high at $54.20.   Chip shot!

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Stratfor: China’s Dynastic Cycle

Excellent video from Stratfor.  Huge return on the investment of three minutes of your time.

Stratfor’s Vice President of East Asia Analysis Rodger Baker discusses the historical cycle of China’s dynastic territorial expansion and contraction and explains how this pattern affects today’s Communist Party.
For more analysis, visit: http://www.Stratfor.com

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Daily Interest Rate Monitor – January 16

Interest Rate Monitor

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Venezuela Leadership Concerns

It was just three months ago that a majority of Venezuelans re-elected their charismatic and controversial president – only to see his cancer return. At the Quinta Crespo Market in Caracas, people go about their business as usual, even in the absence of their leader. Many say they have confidence in the vice president and ministers who’ve been in charge for five weeks. Al Jazeera’s Lucia Newman reports from Caracas.

Al Jazeera English

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Daily Interest Rate Monitor – January 15

Interest Rate Monitor

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Wisdom For Traders

Colm O’Shea, the great hedge fund manager of Comac Capital, has some words of wisdom for traders in Jack Schwager’s,  Hedge Fund Market Wizards.

George Soros has the least regret of anyone I have ever met.  Even though he will sometimes play up his public image as a guru who knows what is going on, it is no sense what he does as a money manager.  He has no emotional attachment to an idea.  When a trade is wrong, he will just cut it, move on, and do something else. 

– Colm O’Shea

Posted in Quote of the Day, Quotes, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , | 3 Comments

60 Minutes: Are Robots Hurting Job Growth?

60 minutesIn case you missed last night’s 60 Minutes.   Take the 13 minutes to view this fascinating piece about how technological advances, especially robotics, are changing the workplace and is causing unemployment.

We’ve wrtitten and posted many times on how technology is contributing to structural unemployment,

…as many as 10% of U.S. service sector workers — roughly 12 million people — could be laid off in the next five years as a result of mobile efficiencies.
Michael Saylor,  The Mobile Wave

Also see here, here, and here.

“Tech companies are creating plenty of jobs for robots.” Daniel Honan,  The Robot Hiring Boom Has Arrived

After viewing the piece think about a monetary policy tied to an unemployment rate that may be impacted more by structural forces and less by cyclical demand factors than policymakers currently estimate.

..in the not too long term…we are going to transition into an economy that is very productive but just doesn’t need a lot of human workers.
Andrew McAfee,  MIT

Could it be that financial repression, which lowers the cost of capital,  may be resulting in an unintended consequence of quickening the replacement of human labor by robots?  Just sayin’.

Click here to view the full 60 minutes piece. 

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Posted in Employment, Technology, Video | 2 Comments

Daily Interest Rate Monitor – January 14

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Quote of the Day: Feeback Loopis

We could be stuck in a perverse equilibrium in which our absence of growth is delivering political paralysis, and the political paralysis preserves the absence of growth.

Benjamin Friedman,  Prof. of Econ, Harvard

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Stratfor: Japan’s New Regional Diplomacy

Stratfor’s Vice President of East Asia Analysis Rodger Baker reviews Japan’s new regional diplomacy in the context of China’s military assertiveness.
For more analysis, visit: http://www.Stratfor.com

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