Tag Archives: Venezuela

Venezuela: Failed Petrostate & The Roosevelt Corollary

Interesting piece in The Hill yesterday on Venezuela by former U.S. Senator Judd Gregg, Venezuela, the Monroe Doctrine and the Roosevelt Corollary.   A must read for those interested in all things Vennie. He refers to the Roosevelt Corollary to the Monroe … Continue reading

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Major EU powers recognise Guaido as Venezuela’s interim president

One morning closer to Venezuela’s economic “morning-after-plan.”

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Venezuela, Debt, and Gunboat Diplomacy 2.0

Traders bought up Venezuelan bonds last week on the announcement of the U.S. administration’s policy shift to delegitimize President Nicolás Maduro and recognize the opposition leader,  Juan Guaidó. When was the last major sovereign debt restructuring in Venezuela? The Brady … Continue reading

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Ten Good Weekend Reads – January 25

Fed Officials Weigh Earlier-Than-Expected End to Bond Portfolio Runoff – WSJ The difficulty of being a bear in a bear market – KNect365 “…Making money when everyone else is losing is easier said than done.” – Michael Batnick Has Value … Continue reading

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“What will Brazil’s role in Venezuela be with Bolsonaro’s Presidency?”

Carlos Milani, Associate Professor at the Rio de Janeiro State University’s Institute for Social and Political Studies (IESP-UERJ) “Bolsonaro”s election is very worrisome for our young democracy” Visit our website: http://www.france24.com

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COTD: Venezuela Oil Production (t/bpd)

Ergo (among other things), this: There is some minimum threshold level of reserves most central banks will not cross and will resort to various policies to protect and ration foreign exchange reserves, including devaluation, import restrictions, capital controls, selective default, … Continue reading

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Emerging Market Dollar Bonds: An Option Based Analysis

In my prior life I used to trade emerging market (EM) bonds and came up with the following analytical framework using options analysis to understand and teach the basic fundamental principles of how to value EM hard currency bonds.   The … Continue reading

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Venezuela in crisis – FT

Shops are being looted, while the country’s gold reserves are being sold to finance its debt. With 1.8m signatures on a petition for a referendum on Nicolas Maduro’s presidency, the country is threatening to become a failed state. For more … Continue reading

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Venezuela Leadership Concerns

It was just three months ago that a majority of Venezuelans re-elected their charismatic and controversial president – only to see his cancer return. At the Quinta Crespo Market in Caracas, people go about their business as usual, even in … Continue reading

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Stratfor: Venezuela’s Geographic Challenge

Stratfor discusses the importance of Venezuela’s oil reserves and its relations with the United States. For more analysis, visit: http://www.Stratfor.com (click here if video is not observable)

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