Meine Fox News: Senicide, The Final Solution?

Good, God!

We have been writing for ten years about the coming “Clash of Generations” but we never, ever, in our wildest imagination believed it would result in an “elderly are expendable” vibe.  Senicide. 

The word “senicide” — meaning the deliberate murder of the elderly — is less well known, though of older provenance. According to the Oxford English Dictionary, it was first used by the Victorian explorer Sir Henry Hamilton Johnston. “The ancient Sardi of Sardinia,” he wrote in 1889, “regarded it as a sacred . . . duty for the young to kill their old relations.” – Boston Globe 

Who would have ever believed it would also have the implicit support of the President of the United States, the oldest ever to sit in the Oval Office nearing the end of his first term. Ronald Reagan was 77 years when he left office.

My 17-year old is more worried and careful about COVID than I because she doesn’t want to get her dad sick.  She is more willing, though not happy to sacrifice hanging with her friends to protect her grandmother and parents.

The senicide vibe should really help Trump with the senior vote, especially in Florida, ya’ think?  The President’s re-election committee must have some real political geniuses.

National Vote 

In the final average of registered-voter polls, Trump led Clinton by 5 points among seniors. His advantage was 6 points among likely voters. These polls are suggesting something along the lines of 25- to 30-point shifts in Biden’s direction…Importantly, I already have noted how this movement among seniors is being seen on the state level as well. In Florida, for instance, where seniors make up around 30% of voters, Biden’s winning with voters 65 and older. Last time around, Clinton lost those voters by nearly 10 points in the final preelection polls.  –  CNN

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Epic Landslide And Blue Tsunami Coming

You Heard It Here First

We suspect a Blue 1980-ish outcome in the popular vote where Trump wins around 41 percent of the popular vote (close to where he is currently polling), which is about the same percentage as President Carter won, but wins a bit more than the six states than Carter did in the electoral college.Global Macro Monitor, April 13

Tax Selling?

If markets were efficient, there should be massive tax selling or front running of the almost doubling of the capital gains tax for the stock ownership class that is coming in a Biden Administration. Not the case. so far, as markets have been nationalized and do not reflect even a speck fundamental value.

The Wall Street cheerleaders always find a way spin everything bullish because their bonus depends on it.

Ridding the world of Trump is good for the world, the country, and my children.

Have no delusions, however, a Biden Administration with Democrats controlling both Houses of Congress will not be kind to Capital. Though the election result will be similar to 1980, the political and economic policies to come will be the polar opposites.

Nevertheless, I still think the tax front running selling is coming in the next few months unless the stock market is signally hyperinflation, which is not a zero probability. The Fed’s relentless propping up of asset markets has created an endgame of what economist’s call “corner solutions.” Fire or ice, hyperinflation or deflation. Brace yourselves.

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Living Like A Climate Refugee

Cue Tom Petty.

Never thought I would live like a climate refugee but here I am again couch surfing trying to put together a Plan B as the family is staying at the Hyatt in another  city.  Four freaking straight years of this, you’d think a trend is developing.

I’ve joined an elite club, where the last two homes I lived have been destroyed by violent wildfires.

Wake Up World

Wake up world, Rome is burning.  Think of your children and grandchildren’s future.

No worries though, the stock market is rocking, no?

Was it Groucho that once said, “Bull markets are the opium of the people?”  Or was that some German dude, a Jerry Garcia, Grateful Dead look alike?

Wherever you live, wherever you hide, however you delude yourself, climate change is coming for you.  Ignorance and denial, or “the Chinese hoax” is not going to shield your children or grandchildren from the violent forces of nature as Mother Earth convulses from the previous generations mistreatment.

The debate is over, Mother Nature is rendering her opinion: we live in a spaceship economy and not a cowboy economy.

In the memorable phrase of economist Kenneth Boulding, the United States was “cowboy economy,” with a frontier ethic of limitless resources.

Boulding suggested instead a “spaceship economy,” in which people conserve and reuse material and energy, like astronauts aboard an orbiting capsule. – NY Times

This One Hurts

Though I am not much of a Material Girl — “you never see a U-Haul behind a hearse” — this loss really hurts personally.  It was my favorite home that  I have ever lived.  Our long tree lined driveway always reminded me of Magnolia Lane at Augusta, home of the Masters Golf Tournament.

O, the fantasies, gone forever.

It may be a few weeks before GMM is back up and running.  Gotta buy some socks, underwear, toothpaste, a new computer, and, ya’ know, find a place to live.

I am thankful to be part of the Lucky Sperm Club (LSC) and have the means to make the transition relatively easy.  Not going to be so for most of the climate refugees of  the future. Brace yourselves.

Continue reading

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California Burning 4.0

This is getting old.

The following is a photo on the side the hill close to our house late Sunday night. Heard huge explosions of propane tanks exploding when I evacuated.

Giving it 50/50 our house made it.  Had a convo just yesterday with Carol K. that our house would almost certainly burn down within next five years.

Hope and praying everyone is out safe and nobody is injured.

 

 

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S&P500 Key Levels

 

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Understanding America’s Political Divide And Existential Crisis

This a must view video, folks, if you really want to understand what ails and divides America politically, and why Trump’s base sticks with him.

I had a great discussion today with Carol K., GMM’s crack stock picker about what is it that really divides America.   Not only is she financially astute but a pretty damn good political scientist.

Much what she said sounded exactly like the Harvard professor I heard early in the day in an interview with CNN’s Michael Smerconish.

Harvard professor Michael Sandel discusses his theory that credentialism is the last acceptable form of prejudice in today’s society, and how that relates to President Trump’s political rise. CNN

Working-Class Resentment And Meritocratic Hubris

In a nutshell, it is resentment by many of America’s working-class that the “elites” are looking down on them, and that elites have a “meritocratic hubris” that their success is their own doing, and by implication, those who have fallen behind must deserve their fate as well. Carol also nailed why many of the elites, who believe they deserve and have earned what they have, resent, say minorities or women, who are encroaching on their space or their income through taxation, for example.

We have talked a lot about the “Lucky Sperm Club”(LSC)  at GMM over the years.

LSC

If not for our membership in the Lucky Sperm Club (LSC),  that could be you or I out on the street.  The LSC does not mean just belonging to a billionaire family,  but being born into a decent family with decent parents with the means of providing us with a decent education.  We could just as easy been born a crack baby in Harlem,  folks.  Being born in America makes you part of the LSC.

Thank goodness we are the right side of randomness.   Fat tails, indeed. – GMM, Nov ’18

If you are reading this post, you are part of the LSC, by the way.

Only until we understand a life of Grace – unmerited favor  –can we really begin to heal this great country, which is in the midst of a slow-motion catastrophic train wreck, threatening its very existence.

Listen to the whole interview before firing off the snarky emails about hard work and making your own destiny…yada yada yada.

Money Quotes From The Interview 

  • Part of the President’s political success to due to his ability to tap into resentment against elites, and grievances that are economic, moral, cultural, and also based on self-esteem (Michael S.)
  • The divide between winners and losers has deepened, but it isn’t only economic inequality that’s the problem It’s changing attitudes toward success. It’s the tendency of those on top to believe that their success is their own doing, the measure of their own merit, and by implication, those who have fallen behind must deserve their fate as well.  That’s the heart of the problem (Professor S,) 
  • One of the most potent sources of populist backlashes against elites that we’ve seen most dramatically in 2016 is the sense by many working people that elites are looking down on them (Professor S)
  • We need to focus squarely on the dignity of work (Professor S)
  • The one authentic thing about him [Trump] is his sense of grievance and resentment, this he feels palpably, and he managed to tap into the sense of resentment and grievance that decades of deepening inequality and meritocratic hubris has created.
  • So my hope is that we shift toward the dignity of work, put it right at the center of our politics, and ask what would it mean to reconfigure our economy to respect people for the contributions to they make to the economy, to the common good, to their families and communities, whether or not they be well creditialized (Professor S)

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S&P500 Key Levels

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QOTD: Soros on Market Volatility

QOTD:  Quote of the Day

This quote is always in the back of my mind, especially when volatility kicks up in an overvalued and what has been a one-way market as the “newbie geniuses” begin to mock investing legends, such as Warren Buffet  as “dinosaurs.”

The newbies are almost always the last to the party and a contrarian signal of a market top.    As we say, “know they marginal buyer.”    The only thing we find interesting for the back book is stocks, with growing and sustainable dividends.

Short term volatility is greatest at turning points and diminishes as a trend becomes established. By the time all the participants have adjusted, the rules of the game will change again. – George Soros

 

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Art Cashin Is Pure Gold

When Art Cashin speaks, we listen.  He is the best in the business and such a great man.  If you are going to listen to any of the market pundits,  Art is your guy.   So great to see him back.

Here’s a little taste of “fine Art” from earlier today as he opines on the current state of the momentum market.

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Euro Banks: Dead Men Walking

These charts are hard to take.   Have you ever seen such dead money investments?

Here’s to hoping that if Jamie Dimon becomes Secretary of Treasury in a Biden Administration — a huge stretch given the rising power of the Democratic left — he never allows negative interest rate policy NIRP (yes, we get it, it’s theoretically the Fed’s job).

Look what NIRP has wrought, or should we say rot in Europe.

Source: The Market Ear

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