Tag Archives: Donald Trump

The 2026 Midterms: A Blue Tsunami Cometh

Midterm elections are often described as a referendum on the sitting president. History suggests that description is well deserved. From Reconstruction in 1866 to the Republican Revolution of 1994, midterm elections have repeatedly reshaped the balance of power in Washington … Continue reading →

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Swing State Economic Outperformance

Key Points: Six of seven key battleground states outpaced national GDP growth in Q2 2024. Michigan and Wisconsin were among the top 10 fastest-growing states. Pennsylvania rebounded after contracting in Q1. Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina saw higher-than-average growth. Nevada’s … Continue reading →

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Tax Reform At Risk After Trump’s ‘Bama Facial?

We think the probability is much higher than markets have priced. Susan Collins and Rand Paul  are now waffling on their tax reform vote.   Lots of flaws in the bill need to be fixed as haste makes waste. Hard … Continue reading →

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QOTD: Did Sabermetrics Predict Trump In 2001?

A voting structure like this is an open invitation to an eccentric outcome. If the United States were to use a system like this to elect the President, the absolutely certain result would be that, within a few elections, someone … Continue reading →

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