Tag Archives: ECB

The Race to Debase

Wow!  Nice catch up by the ECB.   Don’t you get the feeling more QE3 talk from from the FED confirmed by dollar stabilization — i.e., non-strength — will ignite gold like a bottle rocket? (click here if chart is … Continue reading

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Euro Swan Dives Splashes Santa

This morning’s swan dive in the euro stopped the Santa rally right in its tracks. We have two questions:  1)  Has the ECB shot its wad as the lender of last resort providing massive liquidity to the banking system and … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities, Euro | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

The EU’s Camouflaged Bazooka?

Many were disappointed that the EU Summit didn’t conclude with a hard number backstop for the ‘zone’s sovereign debt rolling over next year.   We believe if you scratch the surface the bazooka is there. The EU President, Herman Van Rompuy, … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 8 Comments

Say It Ain’t So, Mario!

Very unfortunate timing of today’s ECB meeting as Mario Draghi poured cold water on providing a backstop for the distressed Eurozone countries.  It’s kind of like holding a press conference before playing a hand in a high stakes poker game.  … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, PIIGS, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Curbing Our Enthusiasm, Increasing Our Bet…

Moving closer to the EU Summit we are are curbing our enthusiasm and expectations of the substance of the deal but increasing our bet that it will be just enough to unleash the balance sheet of the ECB to backstop … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | 3 Comments

ECB Prepares to Cut Rates

(click here if video is not observable)

Posted in Currency, Euro, Monetary Policy | Tagged , | 2 Comments

Did Expectations of Debt Monetization Cause Today’s German Bund Auction to Fail?

Let’s try this again. In our post, The Biggest Bubble in History, we tried to convey that a monetization of Europe’s  sovereign debt is not equivalent to the quantitative easing that  has taken place in the U.S. , Japan, and … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Draghi: Where’s the Beef?

ECB President, Mario Draghi, gave his first official speech outside the Eurozone’s  central bank and asked EU policymakers “where is the implementation” of past decisions to beef up the EFSF.    The ECB is in a difficult position and has to … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

The Biggest Bubble in History?

We are baffled by the analysis of the analyst community, some, of which, are not so analytical.  They say that  Europe’s fundamental problem is that it  has a central bank which is unwilling to monetize sizeable debt maturities which bondholders … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, BRICs, Budget Deficit, Commodities, Credit, Currency, Euro, Monetary Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Risk, State and Local Government | Tagged , , , , , , , | 17 Comments

Daniel Gros: Italy Holds the Key to the Survival of the Euro

“For more insight euronews spoke to Daniel Gros, director of the Centre for European Policy Studies in Brussels. Mr Gros, Italy’s bond yields have reached a level that makes refinancing the country’s debt pactically impossible. What happens next? Will reform … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Global Stock Performance, Global Trend Indicators | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment