Tag Archives: Euro

Weekly Eurozone Watch: Comfortably Numb

Key Data Points German 10-year Bund 18 bps higher; Italy 10-year 97 bps tighter to the Bund; Spain 141  bps tighter; Portugal 140 bps tighter; Ireland 50 bps tighter; Greece 197 bps tighter; Large Eurozone banks 5-15 percent higher; Euro$ … Continue reading

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Week in Review

(click here if charts are not observable)

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Weekly Eurozone Watch – Spreads Tighten, Banks Ramp

Key Data Points German 10-year bund 11 bps higher; Italy 10-year 23 bps tighter to the Bund; Spain 56  bps tighter; Portugal 33 bps tighter; Greece 9 bps tighter; Large Eurozone banks continue to run, up 3-9 percent for the … Continue reading

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Quote of the Day: Nostalgia for the Deutsche Mark

While German political leaders now declare their allegiance to the eurozone, opinion polls in Germany show that public support for the euro is very weak. As the risks accumulate, it is not inconceivable that Germany might conclude that, despite the … Continue reading

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Weekly Eurozone Watch

Key Data Points German 10-year bund 26 bps lower; Italy 46 wider; Spain 88 wider; Portugal 31 wider; Italian and Spanish banks hit hard; Euro falls 3 percent. Commentary Short shelf life of last week’s policy placebo.  Nor countries making … Continue reading

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Euros Save the Day, But NIKE Takes Nasty Headbutt

Was it really that much of a surprise to move the Dow 400 points off yesterday’s low?   Nope. Though we remain concerned about a “terminal” Euro, here’s our commentary from Weekly Eurozone Watch last week, Post Greek election and rumors … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Equities, Euro, Germany, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

RT CrossTalk: Euro-Lehmans

19 emergency meetings since the beginning of the crisis… What’s next for the eurozone? Will there be enough money to bail out Italy and Spain? How will the recent Greek elections echo in Brussels? CrossTalking with Augusto Lopez-Claros, Tom Conroy … Continue reading

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VIX and Euro Divergence

Lot’s of interesting divergences today. Check out the VIX and Euro both moving down today, which diverges from recent history.   The VIX is down over 11 percent today, which could be position squaring before options expiration.  We suspect that many … Continue reading

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Why the U.K is not Greece

Two words, one Iron Lady — Margaret Thatcher.   The Eurozone is having the debate today that the Brits had in 1990. “A single currency is about the politics of Europe.   It is about a federal Europe by the backdoor.”                        – … Continue reading

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Global Trend Indicators

(click here if tables are not observable)

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