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Tag Archives: Inflation
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 10
Weekly Economic and Market Summary Macroeconomics Strong Jobs Report: December added 256,000 jobs, surpassing forecasts by 100,000, and unemployment dropped to 4.1%. This robust labor market supports the Fed’s decision to slow rate cuts. Fed Policy: Federal Reserve minutes reflect … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing
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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – December 13
Key Developments: Monetary Divergence: ECB and SNB reduced rates to address economic slowdowns, while Fed signals a hawkish cut with a 97% probability of easing next week. Sticky Inflation: U.S. core CPI rose 3.3% YoY in November, highlighting persistent inflationary … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing
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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – Nov 29
Cracks in Global Economies Amid Easy Financial Conditions Despite the extremely easy financial conditions in the United States as measured by the Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI), significant economic stress is emerging across key markets, exposing vulnerabilities that … Continue reading
Where’s the Inflation?
Key Facts: The CPI-U rose 0.2% in October, with a 12-month increase of 2.6%. Shelter index rose 0.4%, contributing significantly to the overall CPI increase. Food prices grew by 0.2% in October, with varying increases between food at home (0.1%) … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – November 1
Bearish Bonds Jobs Report Impact: October’s weaker jobs report initially pushed yields down, hinting at possible accelerated Fed rate cuts, before a quick rebound. Political Influence: Anticipated election outcomes, including potential stimulus under a new administration, could reintroduce inflationary pressures, … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, finance, Inflation, Investing
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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – October 18
Weekly SummaryBig rally in Eurozone bond markets as the European Central Bank (ECB) reduced its key interest rate to 3.25%, marking its third 25 basis point cut this year. The decision reflects the ECB’s focus on lowering inflation risks and … Continue reading
Inflation Falling But Core Sticky
Key Facts: CPI rose by 0.2% in August 2024. Yearly inflation rate decreased to 2.5%, the lowest since February 2021. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.3% in August. Shelter costs increased by 0.5%, driving most inflation. Food … Continue reading
Leading Economic Indicators
Updated: Thursday, July 18, 2024 Using the Composite Indexes: The Leading Economic Index (LEI) provides an early indication of significant turning points in the business cycle and where the economy is heading in the near term. The Coincident Economic Index (CEI) provides an indication of the … Continue reading
King Dollar Drives Yen to 38-year Low
The Japanese yen’s dramatic decline underscores the powerful influence of the Federal Reserve on global markets. Japanese authorities find their intervention efforts ineffective as the yen touched a 38-year low against the dollar. The persistent strength of the US dollar, … Continue reading
How America Spends vs. How American Spent
Over the past fifty years, American household spending has significantly changed due to technological advancements, globalization, and evolving socio-economic factors. Housing costs have dramatically increased, consuming 27% of household budgets today compared to 19% in 1984, fueled by the chronic … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 