Tag Archives: Popular Vote

Our Quick Analysis of the U.S. Presidential Election

Why did everyone miss it? Polls and pundits missed it due to “Bradley Effect” — “The Bradley effect (less commonly known as the Wilder effect) is a theory concerning observed discrepancies between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in some … Continue reading

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The Political Black Swan

Fiscal cliff collides with a replay of the Bush v Gore 2000 fiasco.  Not good. We noted in an earlier post today Governor Romney has moved ahead of President Obama on the Real Clear Politics electoral map for the first … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Politics | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments