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Tag Archives: Stocks
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – August 15
Investor appetite for risk continues to surge as U.S. corporate credit spreads tighten to levels not seen in nearly three decades. Investment-grade spreads have narrowed to just 88 basis points, the tightest since 1997, according to Bloomberg. A parallel trend … Continue reading
The Big Mac Index: My Global Currency Reality Check
As an international economist earlier in my career, I long appreciated The Economist‘s Big Mac Index, a deceptively simple yet revealing tool for assessing purchasing power parity (PPP) and currency under or overvaluation. In the Economist’s latest iteration, the Index … Continue reading
Global Risk Montior: Week in Review – June 13
This week presented a paradox that seasoned portfolio and hedge fund managers will recognize immediately: risk is rising, but price action remains oddly composed. With geopolitical tensions escalating in the Middle East, oil surging, and inflation data surprising to the … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Weekly Update – April 11
The United States’ current tariff regime reveals not a strategic plan but an erratic response to market volatility, suggesting a governing philosophy resembling reactive day trading more closely than structured economic policymaking. As the week’s developments show, the absence of … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – February 28
The past week saw heightened market volatility, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declining due to fading AI momentum and a growth scare, while the Dow Jones outperformed. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model slashed Q1 GDP growth projections to -1.5%, … Continue reading
Buffett Building Big Buffer: Time to Buckle Up?
Warren Buffett’s recent moves in the stock market signal a strong defensive posture, one that suggests a serious market correction may be on the horizon. Over the past several years, Berkshire Hathaway has been a net seller of equities, shedding … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – February 21
Key Facts: The S&P 500 (-1.7%), Dow Jones (-2.51%), and Nasdaq (-2.51%) fell this week amid tariff concerns and weak economic data. The Russell 2000 (-3.71%) and Dow Transports (-3.45%) underperformed, reflecting slowing economic activity. Nvidia (+18%) gained on AI … Continue reading
Trump 2.0 Inherits A Very Expensive Stock Market
The S&P 500 CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings) ratio, a metric developed by economist Robert Shiller, measures stock market valuation by averaging earnings over the past ten years and adjusting for inflation. It provides a long-term perspective on whether the market … Continue reading
Presidential Stock Markets
The performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) under various U.S. presidents has long been a subject of debate, providing political fodder but offering limited actionable insights. The key drivers of market returns are often the initial conditions—such as … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – December 6
Global markets experienced a mixed yet eventful week, marked by a rally in U.S. growth stocks, diverging sector performance, and critical macroeconomic data releases. The NASDAQ surged over 3% for its third consecutive weekly gain, joining the S&P 500 in … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 