Tag Archives: Stocks

Global Trend Indicators

(click here if tables are not observable)

Posted in Global Trend Indicators | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 5

Only one of the Four Horsemen of the our Armageddon Trade is misbehaving, that is, not confirming by moving in the wrong direction.  Stocks, which, some have touted as the new safe haven, have been hit the most and dollar … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Dollar, Equities, Gold | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 4

Looks like the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse spent the day watering their horses.  Not much happening in our Armageddon Trade today.  Gold, which is trading poorly,  bounced off the lows and stocks reversed a decent rally to close lower.   … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Dollar, Equities, Gold | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 3

The Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse were split on the Armageddon Trade today.  Gold and the dollar diverged and were non-confirming, though stocks got hammered and took out some short-term technicals.  Bonds rallied off lows to close essentially flat.    … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Charts, Dollar, Equities, Gold, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 2

Still no panic, but lower.  The dollar took the biggest beating and looks ready to take out its May lows.  Only T-Bonds of the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse moved contrary to what we call the Armageddon trade, where gold … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Credit, Currency, Dollar, Equities, Fiscal Policy, Gold | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Monitoring the Armageddon Trade

The following charts illustrate today’s performance of “The Four Horsemen” of our Armageddon trade, which we posted earlier.  That is, the markets were monitoring for large concurrent moves which would signal a loss of confidence in the U.S. government and … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Charts, Dollar, Equities, Gold | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

The Armageddon Trade

Here are the four markets we do not want to see large concurrent sustained moves in the direction as illustrated. (click here if picture is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Dollar, Equities, Gold, Politics, Sovereign Debt | Tagged , , , , | 8 Comments

The Weekend Read: Europe Gives Birth to the “Trichet Bond”

As explained in the Financing Offer, investors will be offered four new instruments in addition to the opportunity to participate in a debt buyback program to be established by the Greek government in consultation with the official sector. The instruments … Continue reading

Posted in The Weekend Read | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

The Weekend Read: Reality Meets Perception

Higher energy and food prices are crowding out consumer demand for other items, and the market consensus is that QE2 has proven to be counter-productive. Unable to concede this, Mr. Bernanke nonetheless seems determined to have it both ways, remarking … Continue reading

Posted in The Weekend Read, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Week in Review: Equity Fireworks

It’s amazing what a week makes.   Almost every American, Latin America and European equity market indices we track had their best weekly performances of the year.   The S&P500 ETF, SPY, for example, had five straight up days of over .85%, … Continue reading

Posted in Week in Review | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment