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In economics, things take longer to happen than you think they will, and then they happen faster than you thought they could.
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Monthly Archives: September 2011
Watch the Hang Seng
We’ve posted many times on this blog about how the Hang Seng Index is one of our indicators species for global risk appetite. The index usually leads global markets on the downside and turns up before most. While all eyes … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, China, Equities, Global Stock Performance
Tagged Global Risk Appetite, Hang seng, Indicator Species
1 Comment
Takin’ It to the Greek Streets
The future of Euro is going to be determined by the Greek street in the next few weeks and how they react to the new austerity measures. G-Pap has his work cut out convincing the population the pain is … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Budget Deficit, Euro, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged European Sovereign Debt Crisis, Greece, Rioting
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Holders of Sovereign Debt
Here’s a great chart just released by the International Monetary Fund. Note that almost half — 47 percent — of the US$14.7 trillion U.S. federal government debt is held by the Federal Reserve and the government itself, such as the … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged Federal Reserve, Greece, Ireland, Japan, Portugal, Sovereign Debt, UK, US Debt
10 Comments
Cloudy Patterns in the S&P500
They say if you stare at the clouds long enough you can see any pattern you want to see. So is it with stock charts. To profit, however, it is essential that others see what you’re seeing. So we ask, … Continue reading
Posted in Equities, Global Stock Performance
Tagged Chart Patterns, Gravestone Doji, Heaad and Shoulders, S&P500
1 Comment
Quote of the Day: Lightning Speed Economics
In today’s FT column Larry Summers quotes our late friend Rudiger Dornbusch, In economics, things take longer to happen than you think they will, and then they happen faster than you thought they could.
Why Italy Matters
Standard and Poor’s just announced they’ve downgraded Italy’s credit rating to A from A+, with a negative outlook. Italy is the camel that will break Europe’s back if they can’t contain the crisis to the smaller countries of the periphery. … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged European Sovereign Debt Crisis, Italy, Standard and Poor's
5 Comments
Apple Breaks Out to New Highs
Like a hot knife through butter Apple pierced through its all-time high of $404.50, trading up to $411.50 before some minor profit taking. The global economy is in the midst of dramatic change and Apple is leading that charge. … Continue reading
Week in Review
(click here if charts are not observable)
Posted in Week in Review
Tagged bonds, Commodities, Copper, CRB, Crude Oil, Foodstuffs, Gold, Stocks, Wheat
3 Comments
Global Trend Indicators
(click here if tables are not observable)
Posted in Global Trend Indicators
Tagged Bolsa, bonds, Bovespa, Commodities, Crude Oil, Gold, NASDAQ, Stocks
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Global Macro Monitor 