Tweet el Xi and Tweet el Jung?

We are a bit confused about last night’s POTUS tweet asking China to remove tariffs immediately on agricultural products.   We know the president is under tremendous pressure from farmers who are losing their arse and their farms in his trade war.

“Farm loan delinquencies just hit the highest level that we have seen in 9 years.”  – WashPost, Feb 28th


If negotiations are going so well and China is ready to agree to buy billions, and billions and billions of additional American goods, mostly ag, over the next several years to reduce the trade deficit, by extension doesn’t that mean the tariffs come off?

Or is Trump just looking for a good faith gesture by the Chinese for not slapping on additional tariffs yesterday?   The Chinese might find the tweet offensive as the tariffs Trump is asking them to reduce are mainly retaliatory from the first round of the trade war.  China could respond “we have already made a concession by not slapping on additional tariffs to retaliate against the tariffs the U.S. threatened to implement on March 1.”

Or is POTUS trying to score political points in the farm belt ensuring that he gets credit when a final deal is struck?  It will take some time for farmers to recover from the China trade shock and will still have to worry about an additional round of retaliatory tariffs if POTUS goes to war with Europe over autos.

Or is the president trying to put more pressure on Xi for additional concessions?

Or is not everything as awesome as Lary Kudlow projects in the China talks?

Or is Trump trying to look tough after the North Korean summit debacle?  By the way, the president did the right thing by walking but should have never been in Vietnam with KJU, in the first place.

Or is the fact we are talking about it exactly what motivates POTUS to tweet?

Or is the tweet just random impulse and nothing there?

Or…?   You decide, folks.

This entry was posted in President Trump, Trade War, Uncategorized and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

3 Responses to Tweet el Xi and Tweet el Jung?

  1. David Tease says:


    Really enjoy your product and many thanks for that. However may I suggest that trying to establish any logic in the rambling of POTUS is not worth writing about.

    Best wishes

    Sent from my iPad


    • macromon says:

      Thanks, DT, good point and agree with you. But, likes Keynes’ “Beauty Contest”, I am trying to establish the logic (or lack thereof) that the markets will establish to POTUS’ illogical tweets. Hint: it is almost always “buy”.

  2. Pingback: Week In Review – March 1 | Global Macro Monitor

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