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Category Archives: Black Swan Watch
Credit-Anstalt 2.0?
If there is any doubt what is spooking the global markets look to the IFR piece, Credit taps run dry for European lenders, setting scene for liquidity crisis. This is a must read over the weekend. Remember, Chairman Bernanke, … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Currency, Euro, PIIGS, Policy, Sovereign Debt
Tagged Bernanke, Credit-Anstalt, ECB, Euro, European Banks, IFR
2 Comments
Time’s Cover: The End of Europe
This makes you wanna buy. Naw…. not until a resolution is in sight. Hat tip to King David! (click here if chart is not observable)
Gold is the New Deutsche Mark
We point you to our piece posted last month here at the Global Macro Monitor, Gold’s Perfect Storm? Nears All-time Closing High Posted on July 12, 2011 by macromon Gold is creeping higher as many believe it is the only place … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Euro, Gold, Monetary Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged Banking, Deustche Mark, Euro, Gold
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Europe’s Destabilizing Feedback Loop
Europe’s sovereign debt crisis and concerns over a global double dip sparked a dash for cash and hammered just about everything, including crude oil, corn, emerging equities, developed equities, and even orange juice. O.J.? Down 4 percent today? Did the … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged ECB, European Sovereign Debt Crisis, Germany, Greece, Italy
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What’s Keeping Risk Managers Up at Night
The latest Bubble Risk Bulletin from the Society of Actuaries is well worth your time. It focuses on China’s inflation rate and the risk of a hard landing. As risk managers, actuaries consider China’s inflation a serious emerging risk. Underscoring … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, China
Tagged China Inflation, Hard Landing, Risk Managers
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The Power of Rick Santelli
Wonder if the Great Santelli ever thought he’d have this much power. His rant on the floor of the CME in February 2009 is widely recognized as giving birth to the Tea Party movement. Hat tip, John Porter! (click … Continue reading
Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 5
Only one of the Four Horsemen of the our Armageddon Trade is misbehaving, that is, not confirming by moving in the wrong direction. Stocks, which, some have touted as the new safe haven, have been hit the most and dollar … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Dollar, Equities, Gold
Tagged Arnageddon Trade, bonds, dollar, Gold, Repo, Stocks, T-Bills
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Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 4
Looks like the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse spent the day watering their horses. Not much happening in our Armageddon Trade today. Gold, which is trading poorly, bounced off the lows and stocks reversed a decent rally to close lower. … Continue reading
Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 3
The Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse were split on the Armageddon Trade today. Gold and the dollar diverged and were non-confirming, though stocks got hammered and took out some short-term technicals. Bonds rallied off lows to close essentially flat. … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Charts, Dollar, Equities, Gold, Sovereign Risk
Tagged Armageddon Trade, bonds, dollar, Gold, Stocks
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Chart of the Day: T-Bill Yields
Somebody’s selling. That is a big move in a big market. The “freight from safety” trade on fears of credit downgrade may just be enough to light a fire under the arse of the politicos. We had a huge capital … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged Black Swan Watch, T-Bill Yields
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