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Category Archives: Commodities
Chart of the Day: Euro Oils Play Catch-up
Big move in some of the European integrated oils last week. Some have underperformed their American competitors by as much as 30-40 percent, which is more than explained by a weaker Euro. If the market has been pricing a sovereign … Continue reading
Posted in Commodities, Crude Oil, Equities, Euro
Tagged Catch-up Trade, Euro, European Oil Companies
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The Week in Review: Waiting for Godot
This market just won’t quit! The S&P500 hasn’t had a one percent correction since November 23rd and those waiting for a better entry just keep waiting and waiting and waiting. France’s CAC was the best weekly performer of the major … Continue reading
Greatest Arb Ever: Cracking Gas into Big Macs
OK, time for a little fun. You can try this and let us know if it works. Almost everything today comes down to energy, right? The rise in food prices is really nothing more than an energy problem. After all, … Continue reading
Chart of the Day
This chart is a CRACK up, but not for drivers and the economy. Where’s the “tipping point“?
Gold a Bubble? Think Again!
Think gold is a bubble driven only by animal spirits and speculation? We think not and have consistently maintained the fundamental driver of gold has been the massive accumulation of foreign exchange reserves by global central banks and their need … Continue reading
The [First] Week in Review: A Capital Flows Sandwich?
Not a bad start to the year if you were in the right space. A Frenchman with a long position in “Apple the Sovereign” was up over 8 percent in Euros. Note, Apple rose another $2.00 to $338 after Friday’s … Continue reading
Posted in Apple, Bonds, Charts, China, Commodities, Currency, Economics, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged China tightening, dollar, Equites, Euro, European Debt Crisis, Stocks, Week in Review, Yen
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Direction of Crude Oil? Watch the Trannies…
This is a great piece and chart by Rigzone sent to us by Dougie, one of the smartest energy hedge fund energy traders out there. You should know by now that canaries are our favorite bird, with the Hang Seng index … Continue reading
Posted in Commodities, Crude Oil
Tagged Carary in the Coal Mine, Crude Oil, Dow Jone Transports
1 Comment
Risk 2011: Fate of Commodities in China’s Hands
We begin our analysis with a little perspective on how we view the crisis. The pre-crisis global aggregate demand was primarily driven by an over leveraged U.S. consumer, who was spending “fake wealth” created by a housing bubble financed by … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, China, Commodities, Credit, Crude Oil, Equities, Monetary Policy, Sovereign Risk
Tagged China, Hang seng, Hard Landing, Shanghai, Soft Landing
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Nonlinear Thinking: Synthetic Palladium
Linear thinking dominates economics and finance and was one of root causes of the recent financial crisis. It is clear to us, the economy and financial markets are nonlinear systems. In hindsight, the collapse of the financial system showed risk … Continue reading
Posted in Apple, Clean Tech, Commodities, Economics, Policy, Rare Earth Elements, Technology
Tagged Nonlinear Systems, Synthetic Commodities
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