Category Archives: Uncategorized

Sixpence Lower

We noted how V.P. Mike Pence, the Administration’s coronavirus czar, is tanking in the prediction markets that he will remain on the Republican ticket in November.  Sixpence lower today and down over 17 percent since he was appointed to be, … Continue reading

Posted in Politics, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Biden Rocks, Bernie Flops In Prediction Markets

Joe making a big move on PredictIt to head the Democratic Ticket in November.   Super Tuesday on deck. Pence, The Fall Guy? This really caught our eye.   The probability or price that Mike Pence will be on the Republican ticket … Continue reading

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Why Smart Money Use Bonds As A Stock Short Proxy

Today is a classic example of why smart money buy bonds as a proxy for shorting stocks.  Bear market bounces, such as today’s, are much too violent and can, including for many today, be fatal. Here is a post about … Continue reading

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China’s Manufacturing PMI Falls To 35.7 From 50.0, Services To 29.6

Those are some ugly numbers, folks, and as a matter of fact, the lowest on record.  Not totally unexpected but much worse than anticipated.  The February print came in much lower than the median forecast of 43 by economists surveyed … Continue reading

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Coronavirus, You’re On Your Own

Say what you will about Chris but he has nailed the coronavirus from the beginning.

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Economics, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Are We Cheap Yet?

One helluva weak week for the stock market.  Three of the five largest Dow point flops in history.  Yes, we have already been lectured like a little schoolboy by the Twitterati geniuses “it is the percentage drops that count.”  No … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Economics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 17 Comments

Triple Yikes!

Especially 50 seconds in. Guggenheim's Scott Minerd says the coronavirus crisis is possibly the worst thing he's ever seen in his career: "This has the potential to reel into something extremely serious" pic.twitter.com/xLhhNm3u7t — Bloomberg TV (@BloombergTV) February 27, 2020

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Efficient Markets

The coronavirus is hurting the Corona beer brand — and its maker's share price https://t.co/SRW4bNt5Ni — Bloomberg (@business) February 27, 2020

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Just As The Doctor Ordered

Don’t think its over, however…. https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1232939910014869505?s=20

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S&P’s Beastly Streak: Five Consecutive Red Candlesticks

Extremely ugly price action today with the S&P reversing a 54.30 point gain to close down 11.82 points, carving out a 5th consecutive red daily candlestick. Such an ungodly losing streak is relatively rare and has not happened since the … Continue reading

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