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Category Archives: Uncategorized
World’s Fastest Growing Economies In 2018 & 2019
The latest data just released from the IMF. We have updated the 2018 and 2019 annual GDP forecasts of the world’s country GDPs in our ginormous table below. The data are from the recent release of the October 2018 IMF’s World Economic … Continue reading
Fighting Back
Love this. Role reversal 👌👍 pic.twitter.com/bWF4Hsx9Ew — Angie KaranⓋ🌱 (@angie_karan) October 6, 2018
Posted in Uncategorized
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Manufacturing Employment Growth During President Trump
After Friday’s jobs report, we thought it is time to dig deeper into employment growth in the manufacturing sector. Manufacturing Jobs Matching Growth In Total Nonfarm Payrolls Contrary to popular belief, the data show that job gains in the manufacturing … Continue reading
Week In Review – October 5
Summary Ugly week for Global Bonds. Run to our Sept 23rd post, The Gathering Storm in the Treasury Market 2.0, as to why we thought yields were about to spike. Boy, did they Stocks followed bonds lower causing pain the … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Uncategorized, Week in Review
Tagged bonds, Interest rates, Week in Review
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Brazil’s Presidential Election….
Looks like off to Round II — October 28th — as no candidate set to receive 50 percent of the first round vote, with Brazil’s Trump fanboy securing around 45 percent of the vote. Note, Brazil’s similar gender divide in … Continue reading
Posted in BRICs, Uncategorized
Tagged Brazil Presidential Election, Emerging Markets
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Global Risk Monitor – October 5
Posted in Daily Risk Monitor, Uncategorized
Tagged bonds, Commidities, Currencies, Global equity markets, Performance, Stocks
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Politics Of The Employment Report
Today’s nonfarm payrolls miss, 134k total jobs created in September, sealed the deal on the job creation political debate before the November midterms. That is all things being equal — during President Trump’s first 20 employment reports versus President Obama’s … Continue reading
Posted in Employment, Politics, Uncategorized
Tagged Nonfarm Payrolls, Trump versus Obama Job Creation, Unemployment
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Alea Iacta Est!
As Julius Caesar crossed the Rubicon River with the 13th legion into Italy to march on Rome, he turned to one of his deputies, quite possibly, Marc Antony, and made the famous remark, “alea iacta est.” Historians translate this as “the die … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, German Bund, Interest Rates, Uncategorized
Tagged Asset Markets, Interest rates, Julius Caesar, yields
19 Comments
The New FX Model: PMI Differentials?
One of Australia’s finest, and best market analyst, Greg McKenna, and more important, our good friend, posits a new exchange rate determination model: PMI differentials. We cut our teeth as a young economist on Anne Krueger‘s book, Exchange Rate Determination. … Continue reading
Posted in Capital Flows, Exchange Rates, Uncategorized
Tagged Anne Krueger, Exchange Rate Determination, FX Rates, PMI, PMI Differentials
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