Category Archives: Uncategorized

Global Risk Monitor – December 29

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QOTD: One Consequence Of Fake News & A Big One

Denying an existential threat threatens our existence. – The Guardian   https://twitter.com/poniewozik/status/944186054172651520  

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Merry Christmas To All!

Great Christmas song by The Killers with a gospel narrative – disappointment,  rejection and redemption.   Merry Christmas, folks, thanks for tuning in this year.    

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QOTD: Shirley On Santa

“I stopped believing in Santa Claus when I was six. Mother took me to see him in a department store and he asked for my autograph.”  ~Shirley Temple

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More Stats Of The Year

Probabilty based policy making to “keep America safe” or just good bad old fear mongering?  You decide. Here’s to hoping America works out its priorities in 2018.

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Real Interest Rates Not So Real – BIS

The Bank of International Settlements (BIS) is out with a very interesting piece, Why so low for so long? A long-term view of real interest rates?, by Claudio Borio, Piti Disyatat, Mikael Juselius and Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul. The basic premise is … Continue reading

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Efficient Markets?

Now up 400 percent! Long Island Iced Tea Corp to rebrand as "Long Blockchain Corp", stock up 280% in 6 minutes since issuing press release to change name. Unreal. $LTEA — Dennis Dick, CFA (@TripleDTrader) December 21, 2017

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FT Forecasts 2018: More political disruption to come in the US

2017 was a year of political shock and disruption, with Donald Trump upending the rules of politics with his Twitter account. The FT’s US managing editor Gillian Tett says that trend is set to continue. The big question is how … Continue reading

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Royal Statistical Society : Best statistics of 2017 are 69 and 0.1

I guess we can characterize the new U.S. immigration ban as “swallowing a camel to strain a gnat” given the following data. The numbers that best sum up 2017 are 69 and 0.1, said Britain’s Royal Statistical Society as it … Continue reading

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Interest Rates Starting To Bite

We have long held that interest rates have been so low (especially real rates) that it will take some time to reach a level for them to really matter and impact markets. The 2-year yield crossing over the S&P500 divie … Continue reading

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