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Monthly Archives: February 2018
Watch These Levels
Is that it? Is the sell-off over, new highs on the short-tem horizon? Nobody knows. The recovery is a process and unfolds one step tick at a time. In our last Week In Review post, we noted, Only three times … Continue reading
Week In Review: JP And The JFK-Trump S&P500 Analog
Not a lot of poetry or prose again this week. We posted much material on our thoughts over the last few days. Have a look. Also review the data tables below. We do think markets are in for a bounce … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized, Week in Review
Tagged bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Global Stock Markets, Kennedy-Trump Analog, Stocks
51 Comments
Could 2018 Be the Year of the Next Financial Crisis?
Interesting this was posted two days before market top. One of the major concerns was a spike in volatility. So prescient. Davos was so lathered up with Bull. Always so contrarian. Is the century’s longest stock market bull run about … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor – February 9
Posted in Daily Risk Monitor, Uncategorized
Tagged bonds, Commodites, Currencies, Global Stock Markets, Performance, Stocks
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Just Another Day At The Office
Wola-freakin’-tility! The Dow traded in a 1,022 point, or 4.3 percent, intraday range today. That is emerging market volatility, folks. What a close to an ugly week and a bookend win to the week for the bulls. Classic double bottom … Continue reading
Watch These Spaces
It seems like an eternity since our January 28th Sunday night post, Watch This Space. The S&P500 had closed at the high of the day on Friday and also what was the high of 2018. We warned to watch the … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Currency, Global Stock Performance, Uncategorized
Tagged bonds, Central Banks, Mario Draghi, Stocks
66 Comments
Fugly Trading Week
Drawdowns* Bitcoin: -58.3%Shanghai Comp: -13.2%China A Shares: -11.9%Nikkei 225: -12.6%Brazil: -11.6%Nasdaq: -10.4%S&P 500: -10.2%Mexico: -9.4%Russell 2000: -9.3%Oil: -9.2%EuroStoxx 600: -7.2%India: -5.5%Gold: -3.5%Euro: -2.1% *from recent highs, bloomberg data — Lawrence McDonald (@Convertbond) February 9, 2018
The Only Dip To Buy Is A French Dip
Stunning to watch the financial pundits and the action of some investors with their reflexive buy the dip mentality after the massive volatility shock. The S&P500 moves straight up for two years without a back-to-back 1/2 percent correction and then … Continue reading
SPD To Get German Finance Ministry
Breaking. Angela Merkel has agreed with Social Democrats on a new coalition German government. Political leaders in Germany have reportedly reached a breakthrough in talks to form a new coalition government, following months of uncertainty after elections in September failed … Continue reading
Posted in Demographics, ECB, Germany, Uncategorized
Tagged coalition government, Germany
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Global Macro Monitor 