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Monthly Archives: February 2019
Sector ETF Performance – February 15
Wow! Not one red bar. Don’t think we have ever seen this. Must be a contrarian signal.
Global Risk Monitor – February 15
Posted in Daily Risk Monitor, Uncategorized
Tagged bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Global equity markets, Performance, Stocks
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The Elusive China Trade Deal
Forbes asks the $382 billion question this morning, Is A China Trade Deal Slipping Away? President Trump and Chinese leaders are trying to put a positive spin on their marathon trade talks, but the fact is that there is little … Continue reading
Gundlach’s Coming Corporate Bondageddon
Nice piece in ZH on Jeff Gundlach dishing with Yahoo Finance on the vulnerability of the corporate bond market in the next recession. In our data analysis piece, which we reposted below, we highlight the fact largest holders of U.S. corporate … Continue reading
Ten Plus Great Weekend Reads – Feb 15
Fed to finalize plans to end balance sheet runoff ‘at coming meetings’: Mester – Reuters Emerging-market stocks are the ‘most crowded trade’ for first time on record – MarketWatch China and U.S. to Continue Trade Talks Next Week – NY Times ‘Like … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
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Doji City At The 200-day
Total indecision in the S&P 500 price action at the 200-day moving average. Very similar to past short-term peaks but if it were that easy, we’d all be eating caviar on our yachts. Impressive that market doesn’t break. No sellers. … Continue reading
Millennials Rising, Market Risk Increasing
Righteous! Check out today’s cover of the Economist. It confirms our ongoing analysis and illustrates why you should read the Global Macro Monitor, folks. It’s been almost exactly one year to the date since we posted, Karl, The Comeback Kid? We warned … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Politics, Uncategorized
Tagged AOC, Millennials, MMT, QE, Soros, Stocks
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Heartbreaking: Get Off Your Knees —> Action
Exactly one year ago, to the minute at around 7am, I sent two kids to school. Only my son Jesse came home. Jaime was murdered in school. I am forever haunted by my memory of that morning, rushing my kids … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
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Das ist nicht gut!
Good Morning from #Germany which may already entered recession. Catastrophic fall in industrial production in Q4 — after neg GDP growth in Q3—has raised fears that Germany is in technical recession. Fed Stat Office will publish 1st estimate. Would be … Continue reading
