Monthly Archives: May 2025

Summer, Surf, Sun, and…Sell-offs?

Posted on May 31, 2025 by macromon
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Global Risk Monitor: Weekly Update – May 30

Posted on May 31, 2025 by macromon

Global markets ended the month of May on relatively firm footing, with equity indexes rebounding modestly, inflation easing slightly, and consumer confidence stabilizing. However, beneath this surface calm lies a deeper undercurrent of concern—a growing alarm over sovereign debt and … Continue reading →

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Fiscal Scorecard: How COVID Torched the Budget

Posted on May 26, 2025 by macromon

When President Donald Trump took office in January 2017, he inherited a relatively stable fiscal environment. The federal budget deficit stood at approximately $581 billion, or 3.05% of GDP—a level widely regarded as sustainable by historical standards. Ironically, that same … Continue reading →

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Memorial Day: France Still Weeps, We Should Too

Posted on May 26, 2025 by macromon

Memorial Day, 2025 Remembering our fallen – the best of the best – in France. On this Memorial Day, let us pause—not just for a moment, but with full hearts—to remember the men and women who made the ultimate sacrifice. … Continue reading →

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Young Warren Buffett on Mr. Market

Posted on May 26, 2025 by macromon
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Meet the Stealthy Wealthy

Posted on May 25, 2025 by macromon

Must view, folks.

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Global Risk Monitor: Weekly Update – May 23

Posted on May 24, 2025 by macromon

Last week’s Global Risk Monitor (GRM) warned of potential instability in global tariff negotiations, and unfortunately, those concerns proved prescient. Markets stumbled under the weight of fiscal volatility, erratic policy pronouncements, and renewed trade threats—all driven by the chaotic and … Continue reading →

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Notes from the U.S. Supply Chain – May 22

Posted on May 24, 2025 by macromon

Manufacturers stocked up on inputs, generally citing concerns over potential tariff-related price increases and supply shortages, the latter reflected in suppliers’ delivery times lengthening in May to the greatest extent since October 2022. The increase in buying activity was the … Continue reading →

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QOTD: Signals, Signals Everywhere

Posted on May 19, 2025 by macromon

QOTD = Quote of the Day What a contrast between the current Citi CEO and the former who danced his bank over the edge and right into the Global Financial crisis.  …if you’re looking for signals, they’re everywhere. Treasury yields … Continue reading →

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HOTD: Back to Liberation Day?

Posted on May 18, 2025 by macromon

HOTD = Headline of the Day As we suspected in yesterday’s Global Risk Monitor, recent developments confirm a deteriorating trajectory in U.S. trade negotiations. Today’s Financial Times headline underscores the hardening U.S. stance, signaling heightened tariff risks for non-cooperative trade … Continue reading →

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