Author Archives: macromon

QOTD: All The World’s A Casino

“The world’s not just a stage. It’s a casino, and our lives are games of chance.” – Michael Lewis

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Renzi Fustigazione!

http://www.repubblica.it/static/speciale/2016/referendum/costituzionale/    

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Quote of the Day: Bond Market Nutcracker

So while the technically-driven surge in equities may be over, a historic short squeeze in Treasuries may be about to unfold, as according to DB calculations, shorts in bond futures the largest in over 6 years with positions short across … Continue reading

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US Sector ETF Performance – Dec 2

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Daily Risk Monitor – December 2

Click on table to enlarge and for better resolution  

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Italian PM to quit after voters reject his constitutional reforms – EuroNews

Published on Dec 4, 2016 Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi is to resign following a heavy defeat in Sunday’s constitutional reform referendum. Although ostensibly on plans to streamline parliament the poll was largely seen as a confidence vote in the … Continue reading

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US Sector ETF Performance – Nov 25

(click here if charts are not observable)

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Misplaced Policy Thinking – $1 trillion infrastructure build

As the stock market celebrates  and is downright giddy over the prospect of a massive fiscal expansion through a one trillion dollar infrastructure build,  we are less sanguine and propose a different and more long term policy track. The U.S. … Continue reading

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Trump’s Worst Sin

Science Denier. Why?  Because it poses an existential threat to our civilization. Remember,  science, like civil law cases, is based on “preponderance of evidence”,  not “beyond reasonable doubt” as in criminal cases.  Many who argue against science confuse and conflate … Continue reading

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Our Quick Analysis of the U.S. Presidential Election

Why did everyone miss it? Polls and pundits missed it due to “Bradley Effect” — “The Bradley effect (less commonly known as the Wilder effect) is a theory concerning observed discrepancies between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in some … Continue reading

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