Category Archives: Currency

Crude Reality For Emerging Markets

Posted on October 2, 2018 by macromon

This chart comes to us via the “Polish Swish,” known for his nuttin’ but net baseline jumper.  It illustrates the local pain of rising oil prices in a few selected emerging markets. Crude oil is priced in dollars, and countries … Continue reading →

Posted in Crude Oil, Currency, Emerging Markets, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 6 Comments

Hammer Drops On EM FX

Posted on May 8, 2018 by macromon

It’s getting tighter out there, folks. Emerging currencies are down almost 6.5% against the USD on average since February. pic.twitter.com/5TTNQgIgeE — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) May 8, 2018

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Q1 in Review

Posted on March 31, 2018 by macromon

Q1: Lake Placid To The Mavericks The markets closed out the quarter trying to recover from one of the biggest volatility shocks in history, which began in early February.   The question for Q2 is:  Was the v-shock a one-off or a … Continue reading →

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Watch These Spaces

Posted on February 8, 2018 by macromon

It seems like an eternity since our January 28th Sunday night post, Watch This Space. The S&P500 had closed at the high of the day on Friday and also what was the high of 2018. We warned to watch the … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Currency, Global Stock Performance, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 66 Comments

Start Of A Mean “Mean Reversion” In Stock Values?

Posted on February 5, 2018 by macromon

Asset valuations, including stock prices, eventually revert to their long-term mean (average) valuation or at least attempt to if not interrupted by outside intervention, such as central banks.    It has been the major factor in the steep sell-off in … Continue reading →

Posted in Currency, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 28 Comments

Making The World Great Again

Posted on January 2, 2018 by macromon

Maybe President Trump should not read this but last year was all about “Making The World Great Again.” Financial Markets As the data and graphs illustrate below, the U.S. stock market was in the bottom quintile of performance in dollar … Continue reading →

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The Year In Review

Posted on December 31, 2017 by macromon

An incredible year in the markets. Here’s a quick snapshot: Fixed-income – The high yielders significantly outperformed; – Greece 10-year yield down 300 bps in 2017; – China 10-year moved 85 bps higher to around 4 percent; – The U.S. … Continue reading →

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Week in Review – August 18

Posted on August 20, 2017 by macromon

Stock Indices Argentina stocks up big after the ruling coalition did better than expected in primary legislative elections last Sunday.  Emerging markets generally better bid than DMs.   Europe traded better as it looks the mighty Euro is taking a rest … Continue reading →

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Dollar Index & Mexican Peso Dancing To The Same Tune

Posted on July 23, 2017 by macromon

What tune is that?   The Trump slump. Even though the Euro makes up almost 58 percent of the dollar index,  the dollar is going down  for the very same reasons the Mexican peso is going up.   The poor start … Continue reading →

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Mexican Peso Recovers All Of Its Trump Losses, Then Some

Posted on July 15, 2017 by macromon

The Mexican peso,  after falling 18 percent against the dollar from the U.S. presidential election day to the day before the inauguration on January 19,  it has rallied almost 20 percent from its low, and is now up 15 percent … Continue reading →

Posted in Currency, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 3 Comments