Category Archives: Currency

Weber’s Exit Highlights Merkel’s Euro Problem – Der Spiegel

Posted on February 15, 2011 by macromon

A must read from Der Spiegel of the inside account of Axel Weber’s resignation. Bundesbank head Axel Weber’s resignation has made one thing clear: The debate about the future of the euro has become intense — and bitter. Indeed, Chancellor … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Currency, Euro, Monetary Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

South Carolina Politico Wants to Create State Currency

Posted on February 13, 2011 by macromon

State Sen. Lee Bright introduced legislation to create a new state currency in the event of a breakdown of the Federal Reserve System.  The Spartanburg Herald Journal reports, The Federal Reserve System has come under ever-increasing strain during the last … Continue reading →

Posted in Budget Deficit, Currency, Fiscal Policy, Gold, Monetary Policy | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

China blocks the word “Egypt” on Twitter-like sites

Posted on January 30, 2011 by macromon

This is one reason why we believe the Renminbi will never be a serious contender as a reserve currency.   Full liberalization of the capital account results in a loss of independence and control and it’s hard to see the … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Currency, Egypt, Geopolitical | Tagged , | 1 Comment

A Major Factor Driving Political Instability

Posted on January 28, 2011 by macromon

Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;  Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world – W.B.  Yeats Here’s a report from India’s NDTV on the “hyperinflation” in food prices in some countries, which already is and could further destabilize regimes … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Commodities, Currency, Economics, Food Prices, Video | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

PBS: How Severe Is Europe’s Intertwined Debt Crisis?

Posted on January 24, 2011 by macromon

The PBS NewsHour ran this piece tonight titled, How Severe Is Europe’s Intertwined Debt Crisis? Note how Iceland is rising as the model debtor and listen carefully for the “politics of bailouts,” “Germany does not have pockets deep enough to … Continue reading →

Posted in Currency, Euro, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, Video | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Monetarism Redefined: Crude, Fine Wine & Gold

Posted on January 20, 2011 by macromon

“Inflation is Always and Everywhere a Monetary Phenomenon” – Milton Freidman Monetarism as a theory, which states that the variation in the money supply has major influences on national output in the short run and the price level over longer … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, BRICs, Budget Deficit, Charts, China, Commodities, Credit, Crude Oil, Currency, Economics, Monetary Policy | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments

Shanghai Breaks 200-day, Commodites Next to Roll?

Posted on January 17, 2011 by macromon

During the 1990’s when the emerging markets were still emerging a friend of ours wrote a research report on pre-restructured busted Russian debt titled, No Rush to Buy, No Russians Buying.  The point was the Russians knew the prospects for … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, BRICs, Budget Deficit, China, Commodities, Crude Oil, Currency, Economics, Geopolitical, Monetary Policy | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

The [First] Week in Review: A Capital Flows Sandwich?

Posted on January 7, 2011 by macromon

Not a bad start to the year if you were in the right space.  A Frenchman with a long position in “Apple the Sovereign” was up over 8 percent in Euros.   Note, Apple rose another $2.00 to $338 after Friday’s … Continue reading →

Posted in Apple, Bonds, Charts, China, Commodities, Currency, Economics, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Did the Russell 2000 predict the better than expected ADP?

Posted on January 5, 2011 by macromon

Did you notice the better than expected ADP employment report this morning.  It was the largest monthly jump ever in this report, with most of the jobs created in small and medium sized businesses? Recall we wrote on January 3rd … Continue reading →

Posted in Budget Deficit, Currency, Employment, Fiscal Policy, Muni Bonds, News, Policy, Politics | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

The Ambiguity of Stock Value

Posted on December 27, 2010 by macromon

Professor Robert Shiller,  of Yale University,  is probably best known for his book, Irrational Exuberance, which called the top of the dot.com bubble and the second edition called the top in the housing market.  During our days on Wall Street … Continue reading →

Posted in Currency, Equities | Tagged , , , | 20 Comments