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Category Archives: Economics
America’s Perilous Path Of Wealth Distribution
Summary We illustrate the stark contrast in the growth of household wealth between the different percentile groups since Q1 2000 The top 1% of households now hold more wealth than the bottom 90% The aggregate nominal wealth of the bottom … Continue reading
Be Skeptics Of Macro Data In The Two-Speed Economy
Dig deeper, folks. Our good friend, David Jones, sent the following IBD piece over this evening. If you been following GMM over the past week, you know we are knee-deep in the Federal Reserve’s distribution of wealth data (see our … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Uncategorized
Tagged Income distribution, Stats, Wealth Distribution
6 Comments
The Global Consequences Of A Narcistic And Incompetent POTUS
The world is starting to move sideways. The market talking heads are so clueless. It’s almost laughable listening to them trying to explain away in isolation how the pieces of the puzzle are starting to converge that will or already … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Geopolitical, Uncategorized
2 Comments
China Trade Talks And The Cuban Missile Crisis
We find it interesting that many accuse us of being China apologists because we have concluded from our analysis long ago that President Trump is taking the wrong approach in dealing with the Middle Kingdom. No argument here we have … Continue reading
A Short Stay At The Bear Trap Inn
As we suspected in last night’s post, A break of today’s low at 2945.23 cinches a beeline move to the 50-day, where algos will likely set their bear trap and try and bounce the market. We expect a feeble bounce at best, … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Equities, S&P500, Uncategorized
Tagged Bear Trap, Fed, Nikkei, QE, S&P500
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Small Car Big Car: Preferences Or Relative Price?
To paraphrase Freud (maybe), Sometimes the economics is just the economics.
Posted in Economics, Uncategorized
Tagged Car Size Preferences, Price of Gasoline in Europe
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Dollar Impact On U.S. Manufacturing Employment
We have been busy on a piece evaluating the U.S. economy under the first 29 months of the Trump administration. As I used to bark out selling programs as a young kid at Dodger Stadium, “You can’t tell the players … Continue reading
Posted in Dollar, Economics, Uncategorized
Tagged dollar, Economics, Fed, Manufacturing Employment
13 Comments
On This Day: One Wrong Turn & History’s Biggest “Butterfly Effect”
This post seems more relevant than ever as many believe the initial conditions of today are very similar to those of the Spring and Summer of 1914. One wrong turn, one small change in initial conditions can change the course … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Geopolitical, Uncategorized
Tagged Butterfly Effect, Franz Ferdinand, World War I
16 Comments
The Snowflake Economy & Market
Don’t talk to me about snowflakes. I have one daughter in college and one about to enter and we have had some very interesting and, let’s just say loud, discussions about free speech, triggers, snowflakes, and safe spaces. On one … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Politics, Uncategorized
Tagged Economics, Politics, Real Fed Funds, Snowflake Economy, Terminal Fed Funds
14 Comments
